Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 17 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 16 36 48 1 0
CDI 0 8 1 14 108 202 131 34
VCDI 0 4 2 32 463 2478 11964 30286
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 10 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 33 56 16 0
CDI 0 2 1 23 143 252 284 0
VCDI 0 2 1 37 620 3101 12466 28792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 29 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 86 70 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 269 543 239 29
VCDI 0 0 0 62 698 3163 12952 27673
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 30 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 115 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 266 470 94 47
VCDI 0 0 0 59 944 3070 11997 28678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 32 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 112 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 281 484 91 49
VCDI 0 0 0 61 931 3040 12000 28676

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 22 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 103 55 9 0
CDI 0 2 0 29 364 421 286 51
VCDI 0 6 2 96 1132 3240 14403 25620
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 33 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 110 60 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 354 405 274 58
VCDI 0 8 2 103 1124 3251 14412 25613

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 84 81 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 257 196 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 740 798 131 14
VCDI 0 61 12 134 1584 6160 11723 23814
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 75 97 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 158 182 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 492 651 286 90
VCDI 0 61 12 174 1940 6303 11516 23738

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 238 80 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 308 214 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 592 886 123 54
VCDI 0 78 12 139 1418 6346 11873 23380
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 22 24 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 179 113 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 280 254 15 4
CDI 0 0 0 43 542 756 128 61
VCDI 0 78 12 176 1547 6379 11853 23369

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 59 24 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 190 122 19 0
ODI 0 3 1 13 223 216 93 0
CDI 0 1 1 92 497 704 573 44
VCDI 0 71 11 250 1342 5364 13567 22343
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 11 6 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 34 39 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 34 166 127 37 0
ODI 0 1 0 23 197 205 135 5
CDI 0 3 2 57 430 675 533 69
VCDI 0 71 11 276 1475 5378 13544 22313


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