Description of algorithm Full domain   Ice concntr, edge pos   Contingency tables American sector European sector Asian sector GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 69289 14364 150 769 373 51 0 0 OW 60 384 51 539 480 65 3 0 VODI 0 117 32 361 848 179 38 0 ODI 0 6 6 113 703 419 38 0 CDI 0 0 2 70 887 1530 424 25 VCDI 0 0 0 8 471 5895 28307 59991	...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-24:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 69106 14443 164 907 394 59 0 0 OW 60 351 46 576 577 52 0 0 VODI 0 145 30 349 723 216 4 0 ODI 0 6 4 159 610 499 46 0 CDI 0 2 1 80 735 1450 495 64 VCDI 0 0 0 12 409 4382 26218 63674	...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-26:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68276 15204 167 863 448 45 0 0 OW 64 243 65 561 499 28 0 0 VODI 0 32 12 391 1024 112 4 0 ODI 0 5 1 118 858 407 30 0 CDI 0 1 2 36 850 1838 402 16 VCDI 0 0 0 0 426 5043 29213 59764	...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-28:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68421 14908 173 930 459 54 0 0 OW 60 281 55 553 552 47 0 0 VODI 0 53 22 361 944 185 10 0 ODI 0 7 4 151 691 475 22 0 CDI 0 5 1 76 918 1857 438 58 VCDI 0 0 0 97 870 9630 27949 55731	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68421 14963 187 1007 520 51 0 0 OW 60 219 40 474 499 53 0 0 VODI 0 58 21 363 867 173 11 0 ODI 0 9 6 150 770 533 30 0 CDI 0 5 1 79 905 1834 415 77 VCDI 0 0 0 95 873 9604 27963 55712

Date: 2022-04-30:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68331 14646 184 1127 613 51 1 0 OW 60 375 50 493 591 47 11 0 VODI 0 90 35 301 958 258 39 0 ODI 0 11 5 138 743 456 63 0 CDI 0 15 6 89 1073 1677 473 119 VCDI 0 26 5 131 1371 10884 27481 54021	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68331 14675 193 1211 680 60 3 0 OW 60 342 45 396 526 62 20 0 VODI 0 93 29 318 880 211 37 0 ODI 0 12 6 139 811 516 59 0 CDI 0 15 6 75 1077 1613 502 110 VCDI 0 26 6 140 1375 10911 27447 54030

Date: 2022-05-02:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68633 14838 168 888 433 42 0 0 OW 60 198 59 626 374 44 1 0 VODI 0 19 11 442 926 82 12 0 ODI 0 8 1 109 1270 401 37 0 CDI 0 15 3 59 1136 2386 401 81 VCDI 0 25 1 100 1258 10096 29591 52214	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68633 14581 171 1154 692 80 2 0 OW 60 353 38 291 534 84 20 0 VODI 0 100 17 377 764 234 42 0 ODI 0 20 7 145 779 496 67 10 CDI 0 7 6 97 1090 1941 728 139 VCDI 0 42 4 160 1538 10216 29183 52146

Date: 2022-05-04:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68169 15233 174 1039 454 77 0 0 OW 59 135 57 469 500 93 11 0 VODI 0 4 5 349 990 180 34 0 ODI 0 0 0 113 867 515 79 0 CDI 0 7 2 54 1112 3037 609 40 VCDI 0 13 2 128 1313 9260 29878 51987	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68169 14729 168 1139 708 153 17 0 OW 59 446 36 267 461 142 43 0 VODI 0 186 23 326 763 281 60 0 ODI 0 11 9 151 720 618 94 0 CDI 0 0 0 63 1032 2562 738 55 VCDI 0 20 4 206 1552 9406 29659 51972

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68693 14958 175 826 488 86 1 0 OW 59 221 54 535 418 92 20 0 VODI 0 31 21 333 872 227 44 0 ODI 0 0 0 150 838 513 94 0 CDI 0 4 2 69 1116 3077 532 40 VCDI 0 6 2 136 1469 9929 29530 51387	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 68681 14555 177 1014 753 177 25 0 OW 71 358 36 289 447 151 48 0 VODI 0 291 29 275 693 378 71 0 ODI 0 6 8 203 609 654 96 0 CDI 0 0 0 90 999 2154 596 96 VCDI 0 10 4 178 1700 10410 29385 51331

Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 13 May 2022 02:54:04 AM UTC on arcval