Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68547 14761 158 859 422 53 0 0
OW 63 365 45 386 382 29 15 0
VODI 0 131 31 304 687 103 19 0
ODI 0 8 7 163 656 376 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 834 1121 303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 248 2089 8512 7356
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69293 14237 150 778 414 63 0 0
OW 68 457 40 320 367 46 9 0
VODI 0 157 46 327 612 151 20 0
ODI 0 22 11 194 548 406 36 0
CDI 0 0 1 71 778 808 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 459 2598 8639 6652
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69600 14069 121 621 312 65 1 0
OW 61 485 71 405 223 21 5 0
VODI 0 105 48 460 601 118 14 0
ODI 0 3 4 145 854 253 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 684 1201 201 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 270 2356 9024 6646
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69505 14133 143 711 300 68 0 0
OW 73 433 55 515 305 17 2 0
VODI 2 195 40 416 789 94 7 0
ODI 0 10 10 138 628 328 17 0
CDI 0 1 1 78 751 1191 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 394 3027 8816 5723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69504 14154 150 728 333 68 0 0
OW 73 467 53 527 310 15 2 0
VODI 3 135 33 392 781 97 7 0
ODI 0 14 11 124 639 346 19 0
CDI 0 2 2 88 720 1164 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 384 3035 8799 5723

Date: 2022-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69109 14526 155 813 297 47 0 0
OW 60 398 49 554 518 18 3 0
VODI 0 137 33 425 734 129 9 0
ODI 0 9 9 130 621 357 38 0
CDI 0 0 2 73 787 1140 319 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 331 2858 8093 6308
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69109 14522 164 908 343 49 0 0
OW 60 406 51 481 475 11 4 0
VODI 0 126 18 401 782 129 9 0
ODI 0 15 13 123 617 433 34 0
CDI 0 1 2 87 764 1115 351 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 307 2812 8064 6308

Date: 2022-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68482 14992 163 775 289 54 0 0
OW 60 381 59 619 326 15 0 0
VODI 0 29 24 512 892 55 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 81 857 333 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 635 1540 287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 3010 8729 5776
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68482 14971 170 1062 603 60 0 0
OW 60 329 46 398 524 44 0 0
VODI 0 89 26 327 605 296 13 0
ODI 0 15 4 145 518 522 51 0
CDI 0 3 1 84 505 1009 553 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 321 3076 8409 5776

Date: 2022-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68389 15069 178 872 388 56 0 0
OW 62 219 56 685 386 29 0 0
VODI 0 41 15 430 916 98 6 0
ODI 0 8 2 120 683 378 27 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 674 1370 409 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 268 2898 7981 6335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68380 14818 188 1179 744 73 0 0
OW 66 330 29 355 521 76 1 0
VODI 5 126 20 334 595 274 27 0
ODI 0 51 11 151 552 469 115 0
CDI 0 12 4 127 464 1007 371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 439 2930 7909 6335

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68468 14631 166 1043 574 17 0 0
OW 60 325 46 518 531 49 0 0
VODI 0 53 24 314 915 194 22 0
ODI 0 3 2 96 606 409 28 0
CDI 0 0 2 40 766 1282 216 0
VCDI 0 4 1 38 442 4770 7701 4744
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68468 14564 176 1196 976 51 0 0
OW 60 305 27 329 615 134 14 0
VODI 0 90 21 239 576 348 27 0
ODI 0 33 6 123 484 493 60 0
CDI 0 22 9 104 619 1153 236 0
VCDI 0 2 2 58 564 4542 7630 4744


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