Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 50 56 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 17 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 63 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 48 86 17 5
VCDI 0 0 0 25 124 1400 7776 22279
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 68 26 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 19 28 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 41 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 48 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 64 146 70 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 1301 9374 20775
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 59 14 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 21 28 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 46 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 56 55 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 49 136 135 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 855 11007 19470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 28 24 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 7 31 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 36 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 36 27 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 43 159 110 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 1215 11016 19207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 28 28 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 7 29 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 41 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 41 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 45 138 87 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 1236 11042 19207

Date: 2022-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 28 17 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 11 25 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 42 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 47 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 52 94 11 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 516 7471 23686
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 29 21 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 10 22 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 52 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 43 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 57 75 8 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 535 7474 23689

Date: 2022-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 12 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 18 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 41 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 49 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 51 74 6 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 324 5917 25478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 20 19 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 28 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 25 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 36 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 53 38 9 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 347 5914 25465

Date: 2022-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 2 1 18 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 4 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 8 30 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 37 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 59 134 78 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 729 9603 21245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 31 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 26 6 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 4 25 21 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 12 23 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 52 93 110 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 745 9571 21224

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 0 18 6 0 0 0
OW 0 35 1 21 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 4 44 27 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 51 62 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 78 236 23 2
VCDI 0 0 0 73 253 3784 9068 18192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 22 8 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 22 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 2 40 12 3 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 44 52 24 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 92 168 57 17
VCDI 0 0 0 61 261 3859 9033 18177


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