Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67688 15025 160 794 382 95 34 0
OW 61 376 55 396 338 62 27 0
VODI 0 170 39 362 534 143 40 0
ODI 0 26 13 227 568 390 50 0
CDI 0 3 3 82 704 828 251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 708 2450 9027 6982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68931 14001 135 675 426 88 38 0
OW 56 483 53 350 313 54 23 0
VODI 0 230 47 376 507 156 35 0
ODI 0 39 17 282 502 385 46 0
CDI 0 3 7 126 938 635 302 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 646 1869 8315 8005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69128 14305 150 837 385 61 6 0
OW 64 382 47 362 326 25 12 0
VODI 0 197 38 252 646 56 15 0
ODI 0 18 8 183 757 292 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 923 1105 373 8
VCDI 0 0 0 12 285 2104 8390 7285
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68584 14908 164 802 363 51 5 0
OW 61 333 60 433 341 20 11 0
VODI 0 105 32 325 715 50 18 0
ODI 0 4 1 159 824 237 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 821 1298 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 338 2032 8407 7194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68584 14949 167 816 356 50 4 0
OW 61 289 59 420 317 21 10 0
VODI 0 105 29 318 690 43 19 0
ODI 0 7 2 166 850 235 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 855 1268 395 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 334 2071 8352 7194

Date: 2022-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69202 14174 144 821 478 41 0 0
OW 64 421 45 338 383 38 0 0
VODI 0 138 33 310 662 157 7 0
ODI 0 13 9 193 548 480 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 879 976 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 348 2260 9083 6603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69204 14234 143 866 477 42 0 0
OW 62 373 50 308 384 34 0 0
VODI 0 122 29 322 657 182 7 0
ODI 0 17 9 161 577 438 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 840 911 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 363 2345 9092 6603

Date: 2022-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69492 14062 120 654 236 62 0 0
OW 61 529 75 466 237 15 2 0
VODI 0 121 47 525 597 66 14 0
ODI 0 5 6 114 1183 221 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 695 1124 223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 186 2266 9168 6474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69492 14124 152 873 341 73 3 0
OW 61 373 39 358 321 30 11 0
VODI 0 199 38 273 721 139 29 0
ODI 0 19 17 201 543 281 55 0
CDI 0 2 2 75 763 678 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 445 2553 9141 6474

Date: 2022-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69715 13946 119 612 298 49 0 0
OW 61 504 65 420 250 30 2 0
VODI 0 195 55 427 614 128 7 0
ODI 0 4 5 163 702 296 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 748 1232 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 341 3083 8503 6286
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69715 13892 141 754 407 72 3 0
OW 61 422 35 363 309 48 15 0
VODI 0 243 35 285 636 206 32 0
ODI 0 66 23 136 481 419 41 0
CDI 0 26 8 86 639 843 160 0
VCDI 0 0 2 61 481 3230 8438 6286

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69289 14364 150 769 343 36 0 0
OW 60 384 51 539 463 36 3 0
VODI 0 117 32 361 814 127 8 0
ODI 0 6 6 113 645 356 17 0
CDI 0 0 2 70 779 1202 207 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 361 3257 8514 5611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69289 14275 150 975 465 59 7 0
OW 60 360 35 303 363 39 14 0
VODI 0 201 33 266 761 140 32 0
ODI 0 35 20 152 508 496 42 0
CDI 0 0 3 147 710 798 204 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 598 3482 8450 5611


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