Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67555 15042 155 672 314 108 31 0
OW 52 529 55 491 353 43 26 0
VODI 0 169 55 394 603 162 44 0
ODI 0 21 14 211 603 393 99 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 630 813 302 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 771 3330 7604 7355
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67760 14950 154 744 378 116 36 0
OW 52 510 60 424 314 76 35 0
VODI 0 236 47 296 550 195 54 0
ODI 0 27 24 240 453 352 138 0
CDI 0 1 2 131 525 621 296 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 650 3149 8473 7028
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67866 15286 161 636 217 80 27 0
OW 53 386 79 441 268 32 20 0
VODI 0 119 54 433 522 71 34 0
ODI 0 7 6 290 715 284 27 0
CDI 0 1 1 49 700 1033 203 1
VCDI 0 0 0 16 657 2676 8592 7057
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67607 15286 166 765 325 105 41 0
OW 54 358 69 404 337 58 25 0
VODI 0 142 38 345 569 121 42 0
ODI 0 34 9 239 567 371 48 0
CDI 0 2 2 53 708 944 256 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 671 2387 8704 7217
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67607 15319 184 879 353 113 41 0
OW 54 325 58 336 341 51 26 0
VODI 0 145 27 303 547 110 41 0
ODI 0 29 13 216 572 336 47 0
CDI 0 4 2 70 712 961 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 652 2415 8699 7217

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68525 14262 143 717 424 88 36 0
OW 56 397 61 349 349 64 24 0
VODI 0 180 39 396 451 217 44 0
ODI 0 33 13 225 502 430 50 0
CDI 0 6 8 103 845 694 300 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 616 2012 8600 7837
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68525 14283 152 767 457 88 35 0
OW 56 373 52 295 330 61 24 0
VODI 0 176 36 389 428 209 39 0
ODI 0 36 14 215 518 416 48 0
CDI 0 10 10 112 809 759 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 645 1972 8617 7837

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69014 14250 129 631 297 76 6 0
OW 61 453 62 492 268 26 12 0
VODI 0 206 50 418 604 49 15 0
ODI 0 21 18 232 799 276 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 1038 1065 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 284 2022 8220 7759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69014 14017 125 730 472 94 20 0
OW 61 524 39 267 302 49 17 0
VODI 0 297 56 347 437 168 32 0
ODI 0 86 28 293 446 412 55 0
CDI 0 6 11 176 857 540 310 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 776 2251 8002 7759

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68490 15020 168 873 391 52 4 0
OW 63 326 55 375 326 21 9 0
VODI 0 132 29 314 665 60 21 0
ODI 0 22 2 169 796 244 23 0
CDI 0 0 5 40 855 1266 331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 309 2454 8168 7001
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68484 14532 155 822 480 85 27 0
OW 65 466 40 270 350 32 24 0
VODI 4 306 46 270 552 180 31 0
ODI 0 139 11 229 549 338 66 0
CDI 0 41 3 144 778 638 367 0
VCDI 0 16 4 57 633 2824 8041 7001

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68547 14761 158 859 422 53 0 0
OW 63 365 45 386 382 29 15 0
VODI 0 131 31 304 687 103 19 0
ODI 0 8 7 163 656 376 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 834 1121 303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 248 2089 8512 7356
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68530 14251 140 825 484 72 23 0
OW 67 470 44 275 377 48 25 0
VODI 10 290 28 294 586 227 45 0
ODI 3 194 19 174 466 396 97 0
CDI 0 58 9 124 666 639 333 0
VCDI 0 2 1 53 650 2389 8360 7356


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