Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 5 32 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 3 37 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 3 28 26 7 0 0
CDI 0 11 1 8 54 101 60 14
VCDI 0 23 3 55 157 1013 8344 21872
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 1 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 6 30 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 3 43 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 26 24 11 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 19 53 36 50 5
VCDI 0 1 1 52 168 427 6448 24485
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 5 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 47 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 49 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 30 46 7 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 61 121 44 4
VCDI 0 0 0 48 170 612 6795 23825
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 5 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 1 35 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 5 44 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 39 21 9 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 34 39 136 28 16
VCDI 0 0 0 57 204 1381 8750 21099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 5 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 1 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 5 44 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 39 22 7 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 31 43 142 23 15
VCDI 0 0 0 62 200 1377 8755 21100

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 6 49 26 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 14 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 44 12 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 44 152 77 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1442 7869 22113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 7 50 29 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 12 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 41 14 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 39 158 91 18
VCDI 0 0 0 1 75 1434 7855 22115

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 3 43 36 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 22 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 69 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 89 14 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 63 106 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 126 1423 8279 21696
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 3 44 35 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 54 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 96 83 18 2
VCDI 0 0 0 25 152 1444 8280 21694

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 4 89 17 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 28 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 31 44 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 14 56 18 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 7 55 93 29 0
VCDI 0 9 3 35 225 1699 8159 21414
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 4 70 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 19 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 22 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 34 12 0 0
CDI 0 17 0 22 83 134 33 7
VCDI 0 9 5 49 252 1666 8155 21407

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 50 56 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 17 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 63 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 48 86 17 5
VCDI 0 0 0 25 124 1400 7776 22279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 43 27 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 37 28 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 87 125 95 24
VCDI 0 0 0 42 158 1349 7694 22260


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