Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 47 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 215 33 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 464 1600 11618 31846
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 45 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 207 177 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 462 2067 12084 30715
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 59 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 213 143 59 47
VCDI 0 0 0 0 163 1872 9923 33356
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 17 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 26 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 104 59 54 83
VCDI 0 0 0 2 175 1360 8117 35829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 4 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 25 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 32 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 139 71 54 81
VCDI 0 0 0 5 122 1334 8117 35831

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 22 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 20 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 114 138 96 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 128 1352 8465 35464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 23 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 24 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 147 165 103 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 1307 8458 35455

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 28 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 112 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 118 220 107 30
VCDI 0 0 0 4 92 1122 7841 36123
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 27 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 44 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 142 128 137 1
VCDI 0 0 0 10 137 1201 7811 36152

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 53 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 104 85 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 139 200 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 147 1630 7545 35822
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 25 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 54 52 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 179 192 86 14
VCDI 0 0 0 14 190 1639 7522 35808

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 39 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 116 102 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 201 327 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 348 1636 10786 32146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 80 117 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 220 326 93 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 401 1579 10800 32143


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