Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68286 13557 136 784 629 118 0 0
OW 52 530 60 401 381 160 0 0
VODI 0 233 32 525 601 244 3 0
ODI 0 69 17 228 557 471 28 0
CDI 0 4 7 130 571 968 169 0
VCDI 0 172 26 253 800 4779 7115 6004
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68078 13692 148 838 672 165 14 0
OW 53 522 43 354 415 150 35 0
VODI 0 290 41 311 565 299 83 0
ODI 0 82 21 206 562 400 163 0
CDI 0 10 12 144 460 761 218 0
VCDI 0 69 14 241 1001 3959 7643 6366
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67408 14955 139 716 297 67 33 0
OW 52 545 58 518 309 38 29 0
VODI 0 193 52 487 666 130 40 0
ODI 0 43 16 246 673 402 128 0
CDI 0 0 0 110 666 884 325 0
VCDI 0 31 9 209 818 3182 7450 7176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67456 15072 159 661 276 73 44 0
OW 52 573 71 511 375 37 33 0
VODI 0 145 51 420 618 125 42 0
ODI 0 21 12 229 574 376 137 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 703 843 367 2
VCDI 0 0 0 23 948 2987 7413 7603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67456 15154 171 836 398 77 46 0
OW 52 490 60 349 321 36 29 0
VODI 0 135 54 429 584 118 39 0
ODI 0 32 7 212 575 351 97 0
CDI 0 0 1 59 625 812 404 3
VCDI 0 0 0 27 991 3047 7421 7602

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 15069 161 683 372 134 27 0
OW 52 509 60 471 335 72 32 0
VODI 0 175 51 358 559 219 47 0
ODI 0 15 9 239 498 405 131 0
CDI 0 1 1 75 595 671 328 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 825 3118 8371 6869
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 15126 173 831 458 135 28 0
OW 52 452 49 308 302 66 25 0
VODI 0 170 47 376 534 205 40 0
ODI 0 20 12 231 493 373 124 0
CDI 0 1 1 75 528 674 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 869 3166 8383 6869

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67618 15350 143 615 215 92 16 0
OW 52 481 93 493 264 39 24 0
VODI 0 96 55 493 506 63 25 0
ODI 0 12 6 274 807 281 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 669 999 255 13
VCDI 0 0 0 10 458 2863 8136 7515
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67618 15207 160 781 413 114 40 0
OW 52 471 55 312 311 69 32 0
VODI 0 199 58 368 494 179 48 0
ODI 0 57 19 263 395 335 96 0
CDI 0 5 5 175 524 556 313 19
VCDI 0 0 0 25 782 3084 7957 7509

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67708 15357 166 717 282 82 43 0
OW 53 334 71 423 323 34 23 0
VODI 0 129 40 350 602 85 34 0
ODI 0 26 7 248 612 342 40 0
CDI 0 1 3 44 733 1081 274 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 586 2560 9137 6530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67708 14936 142 729 473 106 75 0
OW 53 531 69 257 328 88 42 0
VODI 0 248 36 381 462 211 64 0
ODI 0 118 26 166 474 361 89 0
CDI 0 14 14 223 611 681 305 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 790 2737 8976 6530

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67688 15025 160 794 382 95 34 0
OW 61 376 55 396 338 62 27 0
VODI 0 170 39 362 534 143 40 0
ODI 0 26 13 227 568 390 50 0
CDI 0 3 3 82 704 828 251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 708 2450 9027 6982
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67688 14751 149 798 539 129 60 0
OW 61 462 57 274 358 105 43 0
VODI 0 227 27 357 407 274 78 0
ODI 0 117 18 220 435 374 114 0
CDI 0 43 19 176 650 590 298 2
VCDI 0 0 0 43 845 2496 8836 6980


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