Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68286 13664 144 825 641 118 0 0
OW 52 564 67 418 391 160 0 0
VODI 0 267 36 549 612 244 3 0
ODI 0 100 17 246 595 492 53 1
CDI 0 54 7 142 641 1299 395 28
VCDI 0 264 36 339 1120 8127 26982 59069
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68078 13784 155 872 690 165 14 0
OW 53 558 48 379 427 150 35 0
VODI 0 326 43 336 574 299 83 0
ODI 0 113 22 216 587 423 163 0
CDI 0 44 14 153 547 1007 311 17
VCDI 0 162 24 326 1408 7009 25496 61937
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67408 15075 144 771 297 67 33 0
OW 52 585 65 544 311 38 29 0
VODI 0 225 54 529 675 131 40 0
ODI 0 68 16 271 735 419 133 0
CDI 0 22 1 115 878 1118 423 72
VCDI 0 75 17 274 1336 5996 25383 62623
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67456 15195 169 671 276 73 44 0
OW 52 608 74 546 375 37 33 0
VODI 0 172 54 459 625 125 42 0
ODI 0 42 14 257 626 392 137 0
CDI 0 14 0 79 917 1065 436 14
VCDI 0 32 6 77 1487 5433 22903 66031
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67456 15278 181 848 398 77 46 0
OW 52 524 62 383 321 36 29 0
VODI 0 162 58 468 594 118 39 0
ODI 0 50 9 239 630 375 97 0
CDI 0 15 1 70 840 1042 463 21
VCDI 0 34 6 81 1523 5477 22921 66024

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 15188 163 690 372 134 27 0
OW 52 542 66 503 336 72 32 0
VODI 0 201 56 390 591 220 47 0
ODI 0 34 12 271 588 424 134 0
CDI 0 8 4 92 823 800 448 18
VCDI 0 15 6 67 1504 5752 27516 61297
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 15245 174 844 458 135 28 0
OW 52 483 56 334 304 66 25 0
VODI 0 198 52 405 567 207 40 0
ODI 0 36 15 265 594 388 128 0
CDI 0 10 4 93 748 804 466 17
VCDI 0 16 6 72 1543 5802 27517 61298

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67618 15424 147 659 218 92 16 0
OW 52 491 96 536 284 39 24 0
VODI 0 101 57 542 561 63 25 0
ODI 0 12 6 303 948 360 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 1056 1291 317 26
VCDI 0 0 0 29 791 5165 25511 64106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67618 15275 164 820 413 114 40 0
OW 52 483 56 349 322 69 32 0
VODI 0 208 60 403 531 179 48 0
ODI 0 57 21 294 469 385 96 0
CDI 0 5 5 200 749 750 451 37
VCDI 0 0 0 54 1374 5513 25257 64095

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67708 15471 168 723 282 82 43 0
OW 53 370 71 445 324 34 23 0
VODI 0 165 47 382 628 90 34 0
ODI 0 49 12 280 675 363 41 2
CDI 0 11 6 75 954 1219 345 93
VCDI 0 0 0 98 998 4988 25050 64646
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67708 15025 143 733 473 106 75 0
OW 53 573 71 267 330 88 42 0
VODI 0 286 40 407 481 215 64 0
ODI 0 149 32 196 524 393 96 2
CDI 0 33 16 255 735 802 463 108
VCDI 0 0 2 145 1318 5172 24796 64631

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67688 15064 164 870 382 95 34 0
OW 61 377 58 427 352 62 27 0
VODI 0 170 39 403 591 143 40 0
ODI 0 26 13 251 621 427 52 0
CDI 0 3 3 127 814 1120 437 33
VCDI 0 0 0 22 1027 5294 27284 62447
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67688 14786 151 853 539 129 60 0
OW 61 467 58 304 373 105 43 0
VODI 0 227 31 390 456 274 78 0
ODI 0 117 18 254 479 419 133 0
CDI 0 43 19 212 707 864 506 32
VCDI 0 0 0 87 1233 5350 27054 62448


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 15 Apr 2022 02:51:33 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy