Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68241 13442 164 1106 787 192 7 0
OW 70 602 40 339 415 162 10 0
VODI 7 230 46 382 517 316 4 0
ODI 0 85 11 231 584 448 4 0
CDI 0 68 9 98 885 1035 137 0
VCDI 0 374 32 239 1194 4718 6240 5629
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67858 13333 162 1044 920 313 0 0
OW 52 707 28 294 354 303 1 0
VODI 0 318 38 297 530 378 26 0
ODI 0 108 18 157 556 466 66 0
CDI 0 89 10 92 781 1532 202 0
VCDI 0 346 42 275 696 3943 6119 6646
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69026 13340 145 880 589 89 1 0
OW 53 489 49 476 290 70 0 0
VODI 0 177 26 484 583 170 0 0
ODI 0 54 26 219 722 315 76 0
CDI 0 133 19 128 801 1095 118 0
VCDI 0 331 23 232 715 4750 6014 6392
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68471 13629 145 767 573 111 0 0
OW 52 563 69 543 278 136 0 0
VODI 0 223 37 555 545 221 5 0
ODI 0 79 14 200 570 377 55 0
CDI 0 4 7 151 641 773 98 0
VCDI 0 237 29 258 775 5309 6874 5726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68471 13720 163 852 591 121 0 0
OW 52 483 51 500 308 120 0 0
VODI 0 211 38 527 588 211 0 0
ODI 0 80 13 194 527 396 30 0
CDI 0 4 7 147 619 756 130 0
VCDI 0 237 29 254 749 5323 6872 5726

Date: 2022-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68075 13702 154 761 627 177 0 0
OW 53 533 47 394 386 159 10 0
VODI 0 245 36 386 616 263 30 0
ODI 0 44 21 244 626 467 64 0
CDI 0 1 4 125 565 965 241 0
VCDI 0 137 27 262 823 4170 6937 6723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68075 13764 166 814 671 188 2 0
OW 53 457 31 358 362 142 13 0
VODI 0 246 34 359 633 269 20 0
ODI 0 57 24 247 619 471 60 0
CDI 0 1 7 131 525 959 259 0
VCDI 0 137 27 263 833 4172 6928 6723

Date: 2022-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67544 14564 126 653 328 70 21 0
OW 52 646 69 481 288 57 33 0
VODI 0 219 49 628 615 113 32 0
ODI 0 41 13 217 857 352 92 0
CDI 0 0 1 86 648 1163 301 0
VCDI 0 43 12 145 683 3173 7962 6723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67543 14584 141 884 601 146 54 0
OW 53 468 47 324 342 130 42 0
VODI 0 245 33 391 476 248 84 0
ODI 0 146 25 226 460 311 169 0
CDI 0 27 12 187 559 667 206 0
VCDI 0 43 12 198 981 3426 7886 6723

Date: 2022-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67394 15019 147 713 321 75 35 0
OW 52 557 73 534 339 50 31 0
VODI 0 136 57 444 663 145 44 0
ODI 0 14 8 251 570 372 152 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 753 788 345 0
VCDI 0 1 1 201 936 2879 7440 7495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67394 14895 142 807 635 230 85 0
OW 52 507 60 290 275 101 87 0
VODI 0 230 53 435 452 197 150 0
ODI 0 84 23 278 487 295 140 0
CDI 0 10 7 169 652 589 223 0
VCDI 0 1 1 229 1081 2897 7362 7495

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67555 15042 155 672 314 108 31 0
OW 52 529 55 491 353 43 26 0
VODI 0 169 55 394 603 162 44 0
ODI 0 21 14 211 603 393 99 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 630 813 302 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 771 3330 7604 7355
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67555 14719 137 709 759 316 82 0
OW 52 548 59 267 285 152 59 0
VODI 0 338 41 404 387 266 106 0
ODI 0 113 31 298 438 284 136 0
CDI 0 43 11 168 617 634 366 5
VCDI 0 0 0 23 788 3197 7357 7350


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