Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 241 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 1 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 2 40 53 20 3 0
CDI 0 60 7 54 115 150 72 20
VCDI 0 330 28 182 460 1843 10977 17206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 169 9 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 3 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 37 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 9 42 27 13 0 0
CDI 0 66 4 71 122 142 43 38
VCDI 0 245 19 183 429 1520 9808 18896
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 14 29 1 0 0 0
OW 0 52 6 18 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 14 42 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 114 6 77 14 8 0 0
CDI 0 84 11 79 157 105 69 2
VCDI 0 53 4 98 323 1592 8248 20548
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 13 49 5 0 0 0
OW 0 39 3 15 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 1 21 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 18 56 9 1 0
CDI 0 82 3 23 108 61 53 15
VCDI 0 99 13 121 326 1303 7007 22407
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 14 53 5 0 0 0
OW 0 36 2 12 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 1 23 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 1 18 69 10 2 0
CDI 0 82 6 33 100 78 51 13
VCDI 0 91 9 108 320 1285 7008 22409

Date: 2022-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 10 39 16 0 0 0
OW 0 35 4 21 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 2 27 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 1 9 26 18 0 0
CDI 0 41 1 5 51 112 63 4
VCDI 0 81 10 93 202 983 6492 23553
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 9 44 17 0 0 0
OW 0 28 6 20 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 1 24 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 1 10 31 33 0 0
CDI 0 63 4 6 47 110 69 3
VCDI 0 47 7 90 199 970 6486 23554

Date: 2022-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 11 73 8 0 0 0
OW 0 37 3 34 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 1 29 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 1 9 37 4 2 0
CDI 0 19 0 4 31 111 63 15
VCDI 0 57 11 67 124 524 6617 24006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 5 64 8 0 0 0
OW 0 36 7 24 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 3 27 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 0 18 18 8 5 0
CDI 0 43 1 21 43 95 72 13
VCDI 0 51 11 62 131 536 6605 24008

Date: 2022-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 8 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 4 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 6 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 2 35 7 1 3 0
CDI 0 22 1 14 46 89 99 27
VCDI 0 42 6 57 138 842 6501 23825
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 6 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 5 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 2 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 7 31 10 5 5 0
CDI 0 26 1 23 44 113 105 10
VCDI 0 44 6 58 137 814 6493 23842

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 5 32 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 3 37 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 3 28 26 7 0 0
CDI 0 11 1 8 54 101 60 14
VCDI 0 23 3 55 157 1013 8344 21872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 6 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 2 44 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 3 26 9 1 0 0
CDI 0 16 1 26 51 76 47 15
VCDI 0 23 4 55 182 1044 8357 21871


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