Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67193 14181 120 812 573 94 21 0
OW 54 639 54 265 336 45 18 0
VODI 0 458 35 306 430 92 28 0
ODI 0 153 43 225 449 179 36 0
CDI 0 62 21 274 737 651 78 0
VCDI 0 151 16 443 1256 4156 7538 6878
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67995 13802 117 697 473 109 0 0
OW 55 673 45 260 272 115 0 0
VODI 0 424 59 335 357 177 0 0
ODI 0 151 27 298 346 248 15 0
CDI 0 50 16 318 760 547 82 0
VCDI 0 200 26 330 1231 4647 7661 6182
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68502 13988 143 952 528 91 0 0
OW 63 489 71 330 338 66 0 0
VODI 4 178 55 463 564 145 0 0
ODI 0 18 13 273 656 225 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 100 900 773 20 0
VCDI 0 366 33 225 1083 6464 8825 2142
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68310 13629 165 1027 707 190 0 0
OW 73 605 39 354 380 150 0 0
VODI 9 175 45 394 552 256 7 0
ODI 0 68 10 193 679 341 22 0
CDI 0 63 4 80 907 974 153 0
VCDI 0 400 28 219 1427 5164 5685 5616
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68314 13563 164 1016 721 202 0 0
OW 70 614 37 336 360 124 0 0
VODI 8 224 43 391 543 254 7 0
ODI 0 80 12 214 674 330 22 0
CDI 0 81 7 80 907 930 133 0
VCDI 0 378 28 230 1447 5235 5705 5616

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67770 13541 171 1160 872 228 3 0
OW 57 652 28 327 391 245 8 0
VODI 0 235 35 359 544 364 23 0
ODI 0 104 13 155 602 451 23 0
CDI 0 77 8 86 836 1274 160 0
VCDI 0 377 29 238 894 4591 6406 5763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67771 13533 171 1184 865 245 3 0
OW 56 567 27 309 388 216 9 0
VODI 0 312 30 341 522 379 19 0
ODI 0 123 15 165 594 443 21 0
CDI 0 83 11 77 936 1202 148 1
VCDI 0 368 30 249 834 4668 6423 5762

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68130 13745 148 922 659 139 3 0
OW 56 542 48 408 387 82 0 0
VODI 0 156 34 484 606 207 0 0
ODI 0 143 35 175 792 457 11 0
CDI 0 199 17 174 947 1596 183 0
VCDI 0 103 10 115 654 4603 6253 5877
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68134 13203 151 1034 900 203 3 0
OW 52 637 31 269 368 263 0 0
VODI 0 433 33 339 420 404 17 0
ODI 0 147 18 198 424 463 44 0
CDI 0 111 15 132 955 1051 159 0
VCDI 0 357 44 306 978 4700 6227 5877

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68425 13915 151 840 528 71 0 0
OW 52 635 69 522 324 85 0 0
VODI 0 178 31 396 659 173 4 0
ODI 0 51 22 147 675 279 80 0
CDI 0 7 4 114 724 895 127 0
VCDI 0 350 29 245 593 4747 6063 6890
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68424 13494 157 889 713 122 13 0
OW 53 565 40 359 343 199 14 0
VODI 0 383 32 329 543 231 30 0
ODI 0 218 17 196 447 296 46 0
CDI 0 102 25 190 604 559 125 0
VCDI 0 374 35 301 853 4843 6046 6890

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68286 13557 136 784 629 118 0 0
OW 52 530 60 401 381 160 0 0
VODI 0 233 32 525 601 244 3 0
ODI 0 69 17 228 557 471 28 0
CDI 0 4 7 130 571 968 169 0
VCDI 0 172 26 253 800 4779 7115 6004
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68285 13280 142 831 826 345 10 0
OW 53 496 44 360 323 249 12 0
VODI 0 295 26 337 454 338 19 0
ODI 0 180 12 201 410 391 35 0
CDI 0 139 25 229 509 965 279 0
VCDI 0 175 29 363 1017 4452 6960 6004


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