Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66760 14115 134 759 440 154 86 0
OW 55 488 52 365 321 40 35 0
VODI 0 257 43 336 587 76 51 0
ODI 0 97 16 182 579 174 52 0
CDI 0 58 18 134 673 705 146 0
VCDI 0 8 10 119 674 4086 9079 7136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66427 14300 156 915 573 119 58 0
OW 55 482 57 391 296 22 36 0
VODI 0 243 28 392 520 56 44 0
ODI 0 97 20 211 620 133 43 0
CDI 0 17 16 295 850 640 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 125 1373 4511 8793 6053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65985 14561 142 929 584 114 26 0
OW 54 540 72 435 364 55 23 0
VODI 0 165 53 506 623 116 22 0
ODI 0 20 16 244 747 250 31 0
CDI 0 4 3 71 1009 1189 183 0
VCDI 0 0 0 92 815 4062 8067 6928
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66929 14284 138 838 557 126 24 0
OW 54 617 51 298 315 40 19 0
VODI 0 356 46 375 459 81 26 0
ODI 0 110 28 261 469 154 37 0
CDI 0 40 15 225 850 611 94 0
VCDI 0 18 7 257 1431 4338 7682 6840
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66929 14332 142 850 584 127 25 0
OW 54 587 47 288 267 35 18 0
VODI 0 344 49 395 438 78 19 0
ODI 0 105 25 254 516 137 38 0
CDI 0 41 15 206 859 592 80 0
VCDI 0 16 7 261 1417 4381 7702 6840

Date: 2022-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67443 14147 109 711 532 92 43 0
OW 55 617 56 245 349 41 25 0
VODI 0 375 54 282 437 101 37 0
ODI 0 127 26 256 440 206 48 0
CDI 0 50 17 252 727 598 87 0
VCDI 0 217 27 385 1253 4857 7471 6305
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67444 14198 118 725 561 92 46 0
OW 54 584 49 226 307 44 26 0
VODI 0 351 53 321 443 92 31 0
ODI 0 124 27 243 477 206 42 0
CDI 0 57 14 229 730 592 110 3
VCDI 0 219 28 387 1220 4869 7456 6302

Date: 2022-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68884 13718 108 719 269 46 0 0
OW 75 611 89 406 184 45 0 0
VODI 6 211 64 578 577 82 4 0
ODI 0 28 14 286 697 190 9 0
CDI 0 15 4 92 997 734 43 0
VCDI 0 278 37 264 957 5867 7003 4909
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68904 13257 112 748 416 102 0 0
OW 61 709 42 268 233 51 7 0
VODI 0 421 78 378 356 115 13 0
ODI 0 126 28 351 404 170 22 0
CDI 0 55 17 278 867 593 103 0
VCDI 0 293 39 322 1405 5933 6914 4909

Date: 2022-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68380 13891 158 991 588 142 0 0
OW 66 570 47 366 354 92 0 0
VODI 4 177 44 427 554 186 6 0
ODI 0 48 16 221 701 224 21 0
CDI 0 48 5 96 939 749 78 0
VCDI 0 407 26 227 1441 5943 6218 4649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68389 13423 137 974 726 230 4 0
OW 61 701 37 215 307 67 16 0
VODI 0 372 46 385 385 197 27 0
ODI 0 142 34 287 497 205 32 0
CDI 0 67 15 212 1017 635 86 0
VCDI 0 436 27 255 1645 6002 6158 4649

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68241 13442 164 1106 787 192 7 0
OW 70 602 40 339 415 162 10 0
VODI 7 230 46 382 517 316 4 0
ODI 0 85 11 231 584 448 4 0
CDI 0 68 9 98 885 1035 137 0
VCDI 0 374 32 239 1194 4718 6240 5629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68240 13238 146 1049 871 260 11 0
OW 71 619 39 250 341 189 8 0
VODI 7 364 47 369 365 344 16 0
ODI 0 134 28 289 464 360 20 0
CDI 0 47 10 194 902 841 87 1
VCDI 0 399 32 244 1439 4877 6260 5628


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