Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 13 51 2 0 0 0
OW 0 22 1 19 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 1 15 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 1 6 15 2 0 0
CDI 0 24 1 8 7 37 11 14
VCDI 0 132 15 94 153 270 2853 28129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 60 8 83 12 0 0 0
OW 0 15 5 16 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 1 12 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 0 8 18 1 0 0
CDI 0 20 1 12 11 35 0 0
VCDI 0 93 10 75 124 258 2951 28168
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 60 3 81 9 0 0 0
OW 0 17 2 27 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 20 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 17 22 2 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 25 22 4 1 6
VCDI 0 60 11 68 111 245 3213 27978
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 4 14 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 4 24 5 2 0 0
ODI 0 25 1 14 10 2 0 0
CDI 0 24 2 11 14 4 11 4
VCDI 0 95 14 87 195 286 3556 27441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 133 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 4 15 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 4 23 6 2 0 0
ODI 0 25 1 15 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 22 2 11 15 3 11 1
VCDI 0 96 14 86 194 287 3556 27444

Date: 2022-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 8 29 10 0 0 0
OW 0 55 2 7 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 2 11 8 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 3 7 9 3 0 0
CDI 0 40 2 15 25 62 12 0
VCDI 0 231 22 147 284 901 6346 23595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 152 8 27 8 0 0 0
OW 0 53 1 6 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 3 13 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 33 3 6 8 2 0 0
CDI 0 34 2 14 31 70 13 0
VCDI 0 240 22 150 280 894 6345 23595

Date: 2022-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 233 11 22 2 0 0 0
OW 0 38 4 22 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 1 16 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 1 4 15 0 0 0
CDI 0 39 2 12 23 41 0 6
VCDI 0 178 20 167 266 617 5103 25171
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 7 19 2 0 0 0
OW 0 59 6 11 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 2 19 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 1 10 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 35 1 4 23 50 19 15
VCDI 0 245 22 180 275 608 5084 25162

Date: 2022-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 231 9 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 3 10 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 3 12 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 1 16 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 46 1 12 50 61 1 9
VCDI 0 260 24 188 376 1147 6897 22562
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 6 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 3 12 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 5 13 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 2 13 20 0 0 0
CDI 0 46 1 19 75 127 15 23
VCDI 0 311 24 188 339 1081 6883 22548

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 241 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 1 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 2 40 53 20 3 0
CDI 0 60 7 54 115 150 72 20
VCDI 0 330 28 182 460 1843 10977 17206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 209 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 74 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 4 40 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 74 2 41 112 38 3 0
CDI 0 64 9 36 131 243 95 38
VCDI 0 340 26 172 379 1732 10954 17188


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