Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 5 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 3 13 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 4 18 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 1 5 8 7 0 1
CDI 0 39 2 11 24 23 0 32
VCDI 0 206 19 119 269 594 5579 24782
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 10 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 4 21 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 2 20 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 3 3 13 1 0 0
CDI 0 35 1 4 18 18 5 16
VCDI 0 242 22 144 252 602 5010 25339
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 190 10 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 6 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 1 20 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 1 5 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 26 0 8 17 23 16 14
VCDI 0 182 20 111 217 713 4841 25525
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 141 13 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 2 26 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 2 20 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 0 7 14 2 0 0
CDI 0 21 1 4 13 49 18 26
VCDI 0 159 15 107 173 311 3182 27659
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 144 13 36 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 2 24 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 2 21 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 0 6 14 1 0 0
CDI 0 21 1 4 15 38 9 27
VCDI 0 160 15 107 172 323 3191 27658

Date: 2022-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 104 12 54 4 0 0 0
OW 0 21 1 20 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 0 13 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 0 9 17 7 0 0
CDI 0 22 1 10 5 31 1 4
VCDI 0 114 12 77 130 266 2940 28133
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 13 56 4 0 0 0
OW 0 20 0 20 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 0 13 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 0 7 14 7 0 0
CDI 0 21 1 10 6 28 1 2
VCDI 0 115 12 77 130 269 2940 28135

Date: 2022-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 7 75 27 0 0 0
OW 0 17 1 19 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 20 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 12 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 9 1 30 24 29 0 8
VCDI 0 57 11 51 112 270 3204 27947
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 7 72 32 0 0 0
OW 0 10 1 19 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 16 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 15 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 20 14 42 11 4
VCDI 0 59 11 65 121 257 3193 27951

Date: 2022-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 6 22 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 2 24 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 2 11 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 25 1 9 16 6 9 4
VCDI 0 83 11 67 134 310 3303 27792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 136 2 12 2 0 0 0
OW 0 34 3 16 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 7 18 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 2 17 8 6 0 0
CDI 0 20 1 14 10 10 1 24
VCDI 0 69 12 71 137 300 3311 27772

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 6 23 6 0 0 0
OW 0 56 0 8 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 7 12 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 28 1 14 4 8 0 0
CDI 0 31 2 18 11 49 0 20
VCDI 0 189 18 144 260 613 5044 25295
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 6 22 4 0 0 0
OW 0 52 1 9 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 54 4 10 9 4 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 13 3 11 0 0
CDI 0 31 3 10 11 52 0 38
VCDI 0 200 19 155 260 604 5044 25277


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