Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66917 14615 183 846 376 58 24 0
OW 54 479 52 438 335 43 24 0
VODI 0 273 25 358 607 94 32 0
ODI 0 99 11 165 594 166 56 0
CDI 0 66 20 157 806 677 123 0
VCDI 0 9 7 122 771 4303 9292 5823
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67416 13774 171 841 394 109 26 0
OW 69 459 46 407 319 75 20 0
VODI 4 288 35 275 648 135 30 0
ODI 0 112 16 169 529 199 55 0
CDI 0 54 12 129 611 686 105 0
VCDI 0 20 11 114 687 4557 8998 6495
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67462 13473 158 765 272 86 18 0
OW 80 502 52 444 277 53 18 0
VODI 7 290 28 358 567 95 21 0
ODI 0 95 15 166 642 187 25 0
CDI 0 46 10 133 758 681 118 0
VCDI 0 33 10 130 1054 4031 9489 6451
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67633 13288 145 789 371 128 22 0
OW 73 542 45 330 292 97 16 0
VODI 11 332 34 293 488 170 21 0
ODI 0 146 20 178 451 206 38 0
CDI 0 90 22 181 557 425 105 1
VCDI 0 27 9 131 842 3862 9128 7561
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67633 13275 145 778 386 134 21 0
OW 71 568 49 330 292 89 18 0
VODI 13 329 30 299 498 175 23 0
ODI 0 145 26 190 428 202 42 0
CDI 0 76 14 178 535 434 142 1
VCDI 0 32 11 127 862 3854 9084 7561

Date: 2022-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67304 13358 134 793 618 117 4 0
OW 75 521 45 353 269 98 7 0
VODI 9 356 31 290 440 177 15 0
ODI 0 188 19 184 506 204 16 0
CDI 0 92 11 142 705 453 49 0
VCDI 0 44 13 172 1549 4728 8868 6143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67300 13350 133 787 622 116 5 0
OW 78 540 42 345 258 101 9 0
VODI 10 349 32 326 459 176 14 0
ODI 0 182 23 167 498 208 18 0
CDI 0 85 9 136 681 461 48 0
VCDI 0 53 14 173 1569 4715 8865 6143

Date: 2022-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67306 13497 139 739 569 163 2 0
OW 81 464 64 416 251 109 4 0
VODI 5 233 39 412 546 160 6 0
ODI 0 100 14 161 633 246 10 0
CDI 0 77 11 103 718 783 42 0
VCDI 0 4 7 83 671 4631 9106 6495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67314 13143 136 804 664 264 7 0
OW 72 489 55 332 294 162 11 0
VODI 6 332 32 312 437 224 17 0
ODI 0 188 23 167 451 251 23 0
CDI 0 136 12 144 546 552 47 0
VCDI 0 87 16 155 996 4639 9065 6495

Date: 2022-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67036 13958 124 684 521 112 24 0
OW 55 460 54 434 265 44 17 0
VODI 0 230 52 443 505 73 22 0
ODI 0 83 7 208 649 132 40 0
CDI 0 69 14 121 848 514 94 1
VCDI 0 3 3 92 929 4801 8819 6560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67037 13559 114 775 732 171 42 0
OW 54 513 50 329 304 81 24 0
VODI 0 349 48 366 431 141 34 0
ODI 0 152 18 197 484 191 49 0
CDI 0 145 9 145 644 470 99 0
VCDI 0 85 15 170 1122 4622 8768 6561

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66760 14115 134 759 440 154 86 0
OW 55 488 52 365 321 40 35 0
VODI 0 257 43 336 587 76 51 0
ODI 0 97 16 182 579 174 52 0
CDI 0 58 18 134 673 705 146 0
VCDI 0 8 10 119 674 4086 9079 7136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66760 13763 135 820 629 202 111 0
OW 55 564 41 291 370 69 50 0
VODI 0 333 38 286 452 136 67 0
ODI 0 162 20 154 484 209 64 0
CDI 0 157 19 150 560 604 130 0
VCDI 0 44 20 194 779 4015 9027 7136


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