Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 231 7 25 1 0 0 0
OW 0 75 2 7 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 5 17 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 135 0 33 64 13 0 0
CDI 0 118 2 44 103 50 28 94
VCDI 0 388 28 165 483 1266 7897 20677
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 204 11 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 4 14 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 116 2 10 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 153 1 12 38 19 0 0
CDI 0 165 5 33 120 88 36 87
VCDI 0 412 30 159 645 1671 7928 20014
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 211 15 51 4 0 0 0
OW 0 54 0 21 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 2 14 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 221 2 18 27 23 0 0
CDI 0 157 7 36 85 87 23 14
VCDI 0 249 26 235 689 1787 7826 20058
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 147 8 99 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 0 16 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 0 1 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 63 1 6 19 11 1 0
CDI 0 164 3 34 57 54 39 8
VCDI 0 438 30 262 452 1478 8272 20291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 8 99 2 0 0 0
OW 0 35 0 16 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 0 1 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 1 5 16 7 0 0
CDI 0 188 3 34 60 47 43 10
VCDI 0 422 30 263 453 1489 8269 20289

Date: 2022-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 7 100 12 0 0 0
OW 0 27 4 14 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 2 5 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 2 2 17 16 0 0
CDI 0 52 1 7 26 92 58 38
VCDI 0 350 22 246 407 1602 7950 20800
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 7 100 16 0 0 0
OW 0 28 5 14 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 2 5 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 1 1 16 19 0 0
CDI 0 59 1 10 24 89 59 40
VCDI 0 341 22 244 407 1602 7949 20798

Date: 2022-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 3 56 36 0 0 0
OW 0 18 2 21 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 17 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 0 9 44 2 0 0
CDI 0 33 0 9 97 111 33 60
VCDI 0 165 17 160 309 1748 8761 20168
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 4 58 38 0 0 0
OW 0 17 4 23 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 3 13 22 6 0 0
ODI 0 24 1 8 30 18 0 2
CDI 0 33 0 9 46 63 38 68
VCDI 0 164 17 161 374 1774 8756 20158

Date: 2022-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 9 54 1 0 0 0
OW 0 16 1 35 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 4 13 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 7 15 4 0 0
CDI 0 26 1 6 20 60 105 21
VCDI 0 124 8 75 223 1042 8388 21649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 10 64 4 0 0 0
OW 0 17 1 31 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 4 12 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 1 6 17 1 1 0
CDI 0 24 0 5 13 65 168 19
VCDI 0 127 8 72 218 1040 8324 21651

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 5 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 3 13 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 4 18 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 1 5 8 7 0 1
CDI 0 39 2 11 24 23 0 32
VCDI 0 206 19 119 269 594 5579 24782
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 6 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 2 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 4 7 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 1 4 11 3 0 0
CDI 0 31 2 9 14 20 0 28
VCDI 0 213 19 122 272 601 5579 24787


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