Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67555 15099 185 949 436 41 9 0
OW 60 435 55 418 371 41 11 0
VODI 0 206 39 407 493 102 15 0
ODI 0 82 11 176 562 213 30 0
CDI 0 38 10 143 744 614 172 0
VCDI 0 9 3 177 1198 3796 8260 5935
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68281 14564 152 820 410 43 2 0
OW 58 498 58 333 308 69 8 0
VODI 0 318 32 348 421 99 13 0
ODI 0 167 11 176 410 157 12 0
CDI 0 138 16 174 584 416 59 0
VCDI 0 49 10 204 1204 4516 7913 6049
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68871 14092 156 858 435 40 0 0
OW 66 470 39 328 337 75 0 0
VODI 4 290 22 266 463 113 6 0
ODI 0 149 16 132 431 203 6 0
CDI 0 71 29 131 594 650 77 0
VCDI 0 20 7 242 1737 4135 7185 6354
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68752 14049 147 794 453 44 0 0
OW 63 677 45 273 267 81 0 0
VODI 0 409 31 300 413 110 4 0
ODI 0 150 19 205 437 148 20 0
CDI 0 83 14 200 720 523 59 0
VCDI 0 23 14 244 1872 3685 8873 4899
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68750 14131 144 802 463 44 0 0
OW 65 666 40 258 270 87 0 0
VODI 0 363 44 309 426 105 6 0
ODI 0 133 15 224 413 168 18 0
CDI 0 79 15 190 747 531 72 0
VCDI 0 19 12 233 1843 3656 8860 4899

Date: 2022-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68718 13821 139 746 332 34 0 0
OW 55 723 56 318 235 48 0 0
VODI 0 415 40 445 411 84 3 0
ODI 0 140 20 230 546 182 7 0
CDI 0 67 8 242 769 779 94 0
VCDI 0 80 13 174 1112 4208 8483 5323
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68718 13917 132 791 362 39 0 0
OW 55 725 66 295 237 52 0 0
VODI 0 347 39 416 421 89 3 0
ODI 0 128 18 262 512 208 9 0
CDI 0 60 10 221 777 783 133 0
VCDI 0 69 11 170 1096 4164 8442 5323

Date: 2022-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67458 14712 165 784 372 64 1 0
OW 53 457 77 428 261 41 6 0
VODI 0 178 28 537 595 100 6 0
ODI 0 41 16 208 828 216 33 0
CDI 0 13 1 96 801 1274 89 0
VCDI 0 50 4 87 454 4395 8283 5888
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67458 14300 162 880 543 81 5 0
OW 53 615 65 324 317 76 8 0
VODI 0 288 29 395 509 154 9 0
ODI 0 118 12 163 507 272 23 0
CDI 0 68 16 215 562 910 105 0
VCDI 0 62 7 163 873 4597 8268 5888

Date: 2022-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67289 14639 166 825 361 55 28 0
OW 53 508 59 446 266 32 21 0
VODI 0 195 30 443 515 121 23 0
ODI 0 68 13 219 595 139 70 0
CDI 0 19 13 139 803 598 145 0
VCDI 0 20 5 135 1017 4645 8795 5587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67288 14312 146 848 527 80 42 0
OW 54 589 63 286 259 75 27 0
VODI 0 302 36 474 450 149 30 0
ODI 0 128 8 205 498 217 59 0
CDI 0 82 15 158 679 580 145 0
VCDI 0 36 18 236 1144 4489 8779 5587

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66917 14615 183 846 376 58 24 0
OW 54 479 52 438 335 43 24 0
VODI 0 273 25 358 607 94 32 0
ODI 0 99 11 165 594 166 56 0
CDI 0 66 20 157 806 677 123 0
VCDI 0 9 7 122 771 4303 9292 5823
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66917 14385 168 847 495 86 35 0
OW 54 527 47 317 272 74 21 0
VODI 0 325 36 350 521 139 38 0
ODI 0 154 16 200 475 200 66 0
CDI 0 111 10 158 745 612 179 0
VCDI 0 39 21 214 981 4230 9212 5823


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