Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 4 22 3 0 0 0
OW 0 51 4 15 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 0 17 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 12 27 2 0 0
CDI 0 24 2 17 17 41 74 22
VCDI 0 72 9 100 321 790 8246 21963
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 120 8 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 53 1 18 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 2 20 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 43 0 9 23 4 0 0
CDI 0 42 3 13 19 6 14 12
VCDI 0 209 19 127 212 330 5869 24815
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 239 8 27 2 0 0 0
OW 0 76 2 8 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 0 13 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 2 19 27 13 0 0
CDI 0 106 3 24 41 71 17 9
VCDI 0 261 22 130 256 914 8007 21614
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 233 8 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 85 3 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 2 22 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 97 1 18 45 8 0 0
CDI 0 103 3 27 78 52 11 61
VCDI 0 350 22 157 407 1158 8210 20775
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 8 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 78 2 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 3 22 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 107 1 25 45 8 0 0
CDI 0 129 4 32 86 51 11 57
VCDI 0 303 21 144 398 1159 8210 20779

Date: 2022-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 226 8 27 2 0 0 0
OW 0 77 3 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 3 12 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 144 1 22 72 18 1 0
CDI 0 130 6 47 114 82 30 99
VCDI 0 407 28 187 514 1434 7855 20395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 233 8 28 2 0 0 0
OW 0 77 2 8 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 4 18 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 162 1 26 76 18 1 0
CDI 0 120 7 37 115 86 24 99
VCDI 0 385 27 187 504 1430 7861 20395

Date: 2022-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 248 13 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 76 4 16 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 191 2 23 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 156 3 20 38 21 0 0
CDI 0 146 6 37 117 73 10 40
VCDI 0 224 24 204 682 1829 7937 19883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 194 12 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 1 17 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 4 14 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 136 1 14 52 30 0 0
CDI 0 162 5 30 91 105 11 68
VCDI 0 385 29 232 696 1788 7936 19855

Date: 2022-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 13 68 5 0 0 0
OW 0 41 0 17 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 1 9 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 125 2 15 31 7 0 0
CDI 0 251 3 35 49 100 10 9
VCDI 0 328 29 243 538 1924 7839 20120
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 12 52 3 0 0 0
OW 0 37 1 26 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 0 11 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 106 2 7 34 12 0 0
CDI 0 145 2 34 43 133 10 21
VCDI 0 487 31 257 535 1886 7839 20108

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 9 101 23 0 0 0
OW 0 29 5 7 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 1 1 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 2 3 12 5 0 0
CDI 0 77 3 18 20 86 65 37
VCDI 0 396 28 310 391 1301 8327 20583
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 9 82 6 0 0 0
OW 0 29 3 12 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 2 10 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 2 5 15 18 2 0
CDI 0 76 3 9 13 76 113 16
VCDI 0 416 29 322 398 1298 8277 20604


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