Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 202 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 0 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 90 1 83 84 77 7 0
CDI 0 136 4 77 157 193 152 40
VCDI 0 279 27 233 709 2338 9378 17592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 144 5 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 4 17 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 0 18 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 1 6 9 62 0 0
CDI 0 80 6 13 102 225 50 32
VCDI 0 173 16 174 586 1494 8269 20399
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 3 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 48 5 16 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 17 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 3 20 22 25 0 0
CDI 0 46 3 12 56 90 35 0
VCDI 0 202 19 127 368 1577 8345 20720
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 5 26 5 0 0 0
OW 0 53 3 11 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 43 2 14 19 1 0 0
ODI 0 25 5 11 20 1 5 0
CDI 0 21 1 13 36 30 101 2
VCDI 0 145 16 156 279 946 8616 21314
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 135 5 25 6 0 0 0
OW 0 54 3 11 10 1 0 0
VODI 0 45 2 17 21 2 0 0
ODI 0 24 5 8 18 0 5 0
CDI 0 29 1 12 20 29 97 2
VCDI 0 145 16 158 295 947 8620 21314

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 8 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 3 23 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 11 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 6 21 2 0 0
CDI 0 35 3 14 11 13 33 4
VCDI 0 120 18 127 204 486 6100 24536
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 8 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 2 23 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 2 12 23 1 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 6 26 2 0 0
CDI 0 36 2 10 4 10 20 4
VCDI 0 128 19 132 205 488 6113 24536

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 238 6 20 1 0 0 0
OW 0 69 2 13 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 0 12 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 3 40 18 11 0 0
CDI 0 133 9 46 38 35 17 4
VCDI 0 173 11 99 239 603 7224 22873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 151 5 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 3 12 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 0 13 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 0 8 19 4 0 0
CDI 0 53 2 10 15 41 17 0
VCDI 0 360 21 170 262 604 7224 22877

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 245 7 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 85 2 5 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 3 15 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 74 2 25 25 12 0 0
CDI 0 93 2 17 56 74 16 25
VCDI 0 315 29 134 295 1048 8141 21195
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 189 6 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 3 17 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 3 13 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 0 11 28 12 0 0
CDI 0 63 2 6 44 80 17 18
VCDI 0 465 31 156 302 1042 8140 21202

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 231 7 25 1 0 0 0
OW 0 75 2 7 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 5 17 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 135 0 33 64 13 0 0
CDI 0 118 2 44 103 50 28 94
VCDI 0 388 28 165 483 1266 7897 20677
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 7 23 1 0 0 0
OW 0 67 5 13 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 1 23 36 1 0 0
ODI 0 63 1 22 60 20 0 0
CDI 0 79 0 18 91 56 22 68
VCDI 0 585 30 192 475 1252 7903 20703


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