Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68593 15101 172 953 402 55 24 0
OW 61 544 38 318 271 44 11 0
VODI 0 370 46 374 435 122 17 0
ODI 0 176 25 363 553 224 37 0
CDI 0 170 10 266 1047 629 250 40
VCDI 0 636 50 513 2581 7364 23321 60842
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68380 14885 188 909 498 71 33 0
OW 61 515 54 309 281 57 18 0
VODI 0 344 40 325 441 107 26 0
ODI 0 119 20 250 457 229 51 0
CDI 0 101 9 143 720 773 158 32
VCDI 0 176 16 333 1944 7704 21491 64780
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67863 15697 194 921 374 48 25 0
OW 61 363 69 518 270 28 13 0
VODI 0 169 32 426 582 97 17 0
ODI 0 58 11 234 592 212 33 0
CDI 0 47 6 88 837 580 155 24
VCDI 0 202 19 140 1416 7092 20347 67188
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67696 15327 190 970 430 46 21 0
OW 61 461 53 421 382 32 11 0
VODI 0 273 44 419 497 95 9 0
ODI 0 97 16 258 568 233 32 0
CDI 0 44 7 173 826 610 272 11
VCDI 0 147 16 263 1590 6576 22538 65333
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67696 15329 192 1025 445 46 21 0
OW 61 435 48 385 406 30 7 0
VODI 0 285 47 380 499 108 10 0
ODI 0 97 18 275 554 219 30 0
CDI 0 56 4 160 792 639 280 8
VCDI 0 147 17 279 1597 6550 22535 65336

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67940 14791 174 963 436 30 1 0
OW 58 467 60 420 400 46 6 0
VODI 0 275 37 313 569 125 6 0
ODI 0 156 11 146 536 212 14 0
CDI 0 112 20 181 679 714 185 4
VCDI 0 137 21 309 1269 6448 20156 68621
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67940 14790 188 1003 467 33 1 0
OW 58 432 42 401 409 47 5 0
VODI 0 278 42 297 549 137 5 0
ODI 0 162 11 139 556 218 19 0
CDI 0 118 14 138 639 690 161 4
VCDI 0 158 26 354 1269 6450 20177 68621

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68185 15151 166 869 339 9 0 0
OW 54 546 51 416 313 30 0 0
VODI 0 344 25 365 496 70 0 0
ODI 0 189 26 187 567 172 0 0
CDI 0 193 32 186 799 627 69 11
VCDI 0 178 13 248 1630 7228 22038 65226
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68185 14736 171 882 432 28 0 0
OW 54 544 36 377 336 74 0 0
VODI 0 394 31 272 475 107 0 0
ODI 0 241 9 178 448 167 2 0
CDI 0 227 22 116 580 534 75 29
VCDI 0 459 44 446 1873 7226 22030 65208

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68873 14225 156 816 477 41 0 0
OW 68 684 53 281 280 78 0 0
VODI 3 439 32 362 408 102 8 0
ODI 0 228 23 185 463 155 23 0
CDI 0 188 15 187 726 626 88 37
VCDI 0 331 36 388 2377 5715 23164 64707
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68868 13827 153 874 585 103 2 0
OW 69 668 45 226 313 106 2 0
VODI 7 478 41 276 421 117 18 0
ODI 0 254 14 210 401 236 32 0
CDI 0 233 18 142 665 669 67 26
VCDI 0 635 44 491 2346 5486 23162 64718

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68703 14242 141 791 360 36 0 0
OW 63 810 48 285 246 71 0 0
VODI 0 569 43 371 428 109 0 0
ODI 0 298 25 252 589 157 11 0
CDI 0 218 10 277 1028 700 108 94
VCDI 0 467 46 442 1956 6395 23962 62697
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68710 13974 147 889 465 96 0 0
OW 56 749 41 241 303 91 0 0
VODI 0 545 39 262 475 150 3 0
ODI 0 269 19 216 497 303 14 0
CDI 0 212 11 188 873 703 141 68
VCDI 0 855 56 622 1994 6125 23923 62723


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 18 Feb 2022 02:59:42 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy