Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69503 15299 152 801 370 85 17 0
OW 60 438 56 363 261 25 16 0
VODI 0 183 31 346 456 99 11 0
ODI 0 68 15 204 500 220 1 0
CDI 0 37 4 147 691 671 31 0
VCDI 0 13 4 97 830 3528 8254 5213
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69351 15009 177 827 369 175 10 0
OW 61 478 39 404 250 38 29 0
VODI 0 272 30 327 414 101 48 0
ODI 0 121 24 185 539 187 31 0
CDI 0 81 16 204 752 670 31 0
VCDI 0 41 21 302 1584 3648 7990 4264
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69670 14910 161 837 308 89 0 0
OW 60 436 45 373 187 39 0 0
VODI 0 236 45 405 426 53 1 0
ODI 0 71 22 277 546 119 3 0
CDI 0 49 5 173 927 769 20 0
VCDI 0 292 21 299 1590 4471 7945 3220
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68833 14945 173 898 416 72 15 0
OW 61 425 42 331 258 50 11 0
VODI 0 235 45 339 490 91 22 0
ODI 0 87 11 209 477 161 32 0
CDI 0 54 9 157 696 582 141 0
VCDI 0 448 23 248 1693 3970 7501 4849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68833 14986 180 914 446 82 12 0
OW 61 380 37 308 233 45 11 0
VODI 0 231 40 342 491 97 24 0
ODI 0 88 13 211 472 179 31 0
CDI 0 52 8 159 698 608 140 0
VCDI 0 457 25 248 1690 3915 7504 4849

Date: 2022-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68466 14802 169 919 464 85 35 0
OW 61 483 36 283 281 45 23 0
VODI 0 277 56 297 475 79 23 0
ODI 0 53 29 272 488 183 31 0
CDI 0 11 3 207 721 403 79 0
VCDI 0 2 0 557 1656 3912 7855 5279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68466 14879 174 933 484 96 31 0
OW 61 413 33 259 273 40 22 0
VODI 0 263 53 298 449 88 26 0
ODI 0 48 30 281 495 179 31 0
CDI 0 22 3 197 740 438 81 0
VCDI 0 3 0 567 1644 3866 7855 5279

Date: 2022-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67999 15575 196 831 335 53 3 0
OW 61 292 74 548 217 31 8 0
VODI 0 92 25 491 567 73 18 0
ODI 0 22 3 192 744 183 26 0
CDI 0 1 0 59 818 615 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 1124 4442 7667 5635
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67999 15326 187 851 432 79 5 0
OW 61 362 55 381 225 49 11 0
VODI 0 192 44 403 349 114 17 0
ODI 0 58 8 251 457 173 30 0
CDI 0 26 2 175 543 419 57 0
VCDI 0 18 2 68 1799 4563 7674 5635

Date: 2022-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67704 15271 186 969 424 42 20 0
OW 61 370 55 427 342 32 11 0
VODI 0 166 42 382 561 109 12 0
ODI 0 40 15 208 518 205 20 0
CDI 0 8 4 112 691 553 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 1191 4319 7421 6467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67704 15105 178 991 543 65 35 0
OW 61 372 46 347 299 69 19 0
VODI 0 215 41 337 436 136 25 0
ODI 0 92 20 208 429 179 34 0
CDI 0 45 13 151 681 466 112 0
VCDI 0 26 4 87 1339 4345 7378 6467

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67555 15099 185 949 436 41 9 0
OW 60 435 55 418 371 41 11 0
VODI 0 206 39 407 493 102 15 0
ODI 0 82 11 176 562 213 30 0
CDI 0 38 10 143 744 614 172 0
VCDI 0 9 3 177 1198 3796 8260 5935
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67555 14820 182 969 515 68 19 0
OW 60 378 43 351 332 59 18 0
VODI 0 280 30 348 414 117 22 0
ODI 0 155 16 196 404 153 45 0
CDI 0 127 18 114 759 470 133 0
VCDI 0 109 14 292 1380 3940 8260 5935


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