Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 4 13 19 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 15 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 23 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 18 33 1 0 0
CDI 0 25 1 11 11 58 19 14
VCDI 0 79 7 81 211 704 8054 22532
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 1 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 1 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 8 40 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 2 30 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 32 3 19 4 17 0 0
VCDI 0 90 5 97 151 316 5631 25435
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 188 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 23 86 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 13 83 0 10 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 1 29 55 17 1 0
CDI 0 121 2 46 74 70 19 20
VCDI 0 174 15 147 331 1357 7751 21293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 232 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 6 31 33 3 0 0
ODI 0 95 3 54 98 31 5 0
CDI 0 134 4 55 156 165 49 114
VCDI 0 314 28 181 669 2535 8524 18343
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 206 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 81 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 5 38 34 1 0 0
ODI 0 111 4 60 100 36 5 0
CDI 0 147 3 50 154 164 50 119
VCDI 0 341 29 173 668 2533 8523 18338

Date: 2022-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 165 5 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 0 12 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 4 9 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 1 22 119 50 3 0
CDI 0 117 1 46 167 169 72 61
VCDI 0 184 16 288 753 1699 9301 18577
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 152 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 1 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 4 12 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 1 27 135 49 3 0
CDI 0 95 0 30 158 184 78 71
VCDI 0 248 17 298 738 1685 9295 18567

Date: 2022-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 232 3 10 3 0 0 0
OW 0 48 4 13 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 0 24 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 6 36 10 22 1 0
CDI 0 41 5 23 53 159 42 3
VCDI 0 144 10 95 342 1606 8588 20449
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 2 11 6 0 0 0
OW 0 34 5 12 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 0 15 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 0 11 2 38 1 0
CDI 0 60 2 3 28 233 38 4
VCDI 0 228 19 149 375 1516 8592 20448

Date: 2022-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 173 5 24 2 0 0 0
OW 0 50 5 16 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 1 18 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 4 12 14 7 8 0
CDI 0 32 2 17 29 79 38 2
VCDI 0 228 21 134 329 1253 8799 20682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 5 22 5 0 0 0
OW 0 24 5 15 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 0 17 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 0 7 9 4 8 0
CDI 0 39 3 2 9 75 50 0
VCDI 0 307 25 158 351 1260 8787 20684

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 4 22 3 0 0 0
OW 0 51 4 15 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 0 17 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 12 27 2 0 0
CDI 0 24 2 17 17 41 74 22
VCDI 0 72 9 100 321 790 8246 21963
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 4 25 8 0 0 0
OW 0 25 4 16 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 0 14 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 1 5 20 10 1 0
CDI 0 24 5 8 6 32 58 17
VCDI 0 131 12 115 330 791 8261 21968


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