Description of algorithm Full domain American sector   Ice concntr, edge pos   Contingency tables European sector Asian sector GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 10 92 24 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 1836 8420 35407	...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-23:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 45 109 46 32 VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 2572 8481 34445	...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-25:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 25 105 39 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 2336 9123 34139	...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-27:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 0 42 8 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1571 7102 37143	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 8 1 VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1569 7102 37142

Date: 2022-01-29:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 0 84 0 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1873 5223 38686	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 0 87 0 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1870 5223 38686

Date: 2022-01-31:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1146 5595 39125	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1146 5595 39125

Date: 2022-02-02:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 28 46 13 2 VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1129 7008 37616	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 28 82 9 4 VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1093 7012 37614

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate	Forecast
observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CDI 0 0 0 0 39 76 8 7 VCDI 0 0 0 0 122 2018 7300 36296	observations Ice free Ice free near MIZ OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI near MIZ VCDI m o d e l Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ODI 0 0 0 0 0 5 25 7 CDI 0 0 0 0 37 91 105 14 VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 1998 7178 36282

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