Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-24

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 276 7 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 5 22 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 3 39 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 0 39 22 1 0 0
CDI 0 35 5 38 71 12 0 0
VCDI 0 133 15 179 575 897 6268 28143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 6 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 4 16 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 2 24 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 2 24 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 21 3 47 56 14 1 0
VCDI 0 157 18 214 598 896 6267 28143

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 30 634 2469
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 30 634 2469

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 33 1861 8015
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 33 1866 8015

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 32 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 43 1647 3914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 46 1657 3918

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7246

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 34 754 4536
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 33 754 4536

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 4 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 2 32 9 4 1 0
CDI 0 69 2 29 45 48 17 8
VCDI 0 55 4 65 171 443 3973 1188
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 3 4 4 4 1 0
CDI 0 40 0 10 22 40 17 6
VCDI 0 191 8 117 200 451 3973 1190

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3370 3967 26 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 242 14 143 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 112 23 155 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 3 99 172 16 0 0
CDI 0 17 8 49 222 161 4 0
VCDI 0 15 2 38 407 722 1166 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3370 3839 19 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 260 24 125 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 18 190 87 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 3 68 183 18 0 0
CDI 0 51 0 15 207 143 3 0
VCDI 0 39 12 72 399 738 1167 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5319 3171 12 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 92 7 63 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 10 74 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 12 71 60 6 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 67 114 68 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 221 926 1214 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5319 2894 7 37 1 0 0 0
OW 0 164 8 37 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 112 3 53 35 2 0 0
ODI 0 80 3 28 27 19 0 0
CDI 0 57 6 62 38 65 3 0
VCDI 0 37 15 129 319 914 1211 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7517 3362 51 260 215 156 0 0
OW 0 30 13 85 21 26 7 0
VODI 0 0 1 55 110 37 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 113 63 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 37 314 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 225 164 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7517 3364 59 324 259 193 19 0
OW 0 27 6 51 101 32 21 0
VODI 0 1 0 26 65 86 47 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 49 56 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 22 203 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 251 124 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 411 5 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 10 41 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 10 63 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 45 28 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 55 10 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 135 491 3149 1244
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 349 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 5 16 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 10 39 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 5 51 14 1 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 35 35 14 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 176 489 3148 1244

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 14 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 130 1701 3543 3183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 22 25 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 1690 3543 3183

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11416 4378 52 325 27 0 0 0
OW 0 36 5 114 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 92 203 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 290 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 490 151 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 226 1262 977 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11416 4353 50 327 64 0 0 0
OW 0 53 5 114 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 5 74 170 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 243 54 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 376 159 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 379 1219 977 0


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