Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 2 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 3 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 3 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 16 11 9 0 0
CDI 0 16 1 18 17 31 47 0
VCDI 0 26 2 65 186 641 8354 22432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 6 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 3 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 1 27 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 0 16 3 14 0 0
CDI 0 39 3 5 11 87 47 15
VCDI 0 110 6 122 174 817 10078 20313
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 8 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 1 44 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 1 26 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 0 9 1 4 1 0
CDI 0 29 2 3 11 66 40 7
VCDI 0 103 4 146 155 939 9943 20326
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 5 19 17 0 0 0
OW 0 11 0 30 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 4 32 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 2 13 11 12 1 0
CDI 0 29 2 7 1 75 27 20
VCDI 0 97 9 94 174 726 9126 21403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 5 20 18 0 0 0
OW 0 10 1 20 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 1 39 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 4 14 14 15 0 0
CDI 0 29 1 6 1 79 28 20
VCDI 0 99 10 96 174 719 9126 21403

Date: 2022-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 4 17 12 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 17 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 21 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 22 22 2 0 0
CDI 0 21 4 14 9 31 5 3
VCDI 0 81 2 42 131 422 6641 24422
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 4 18 15 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 16 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 19 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 23 21 7 0 0
CDI 0 23 4 14 8 35 7 3
VCDI 0 82 2 43 133 413 6639 24422

Date: 2022-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 228 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 5 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 3 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 2 33 19 8 1 0
CDI 0 81 4 37 51 64 19 8
VCDI 0 73 8 93 235 706 7514 22663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 4 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 2 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 5 5 15 9 1 0
CDI 0 55 0 16 27 55 20 6
VCDI 0 225 14 148 264 714 7513 22665

Date: 2022-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 209 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 10 96 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 2 112 0 27 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 1 44 70 23 4 0
CDI 0 112 2 43 120 108 34 35
VCDI 0 267 19 176 450 2083 7378 20516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 161 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 19 89 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 4 79 0 17 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 0 33 47 21 3 0
CDI 0 70 2 43 97 92 47 21
VCDI 0 427 20 197 487 2101 7366 20530

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 202 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 0 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 90 1 83 84 77 7 0
CDI 0 136 4 77 157 193 152 40
VCDI 0 279 27 233 709 2338 9378 17592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 0 31 16 19 0 0
ODI 0 85 0 71 71 81 8 0
CDI 0 68 4 67 144 159 116 35
VCDI 0 395 28 248 719 2349 9413 17597


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