Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72507 14056 163 706 337 101 101 0
OW 77 506 48 297 196 23 26 0
VODI 1 387 25 252 331 51 23 0
ODI 0 179 24 194 324 84 47 0
CDI 0 131 13 205 419 331 91 0
VCDI 0 6 0 116 684 2045 10057 3936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72098 14148 153 619 306 86 99 0
OW 75 755 50 269 176 27 21 0
VODI 0 349 42 321 266 54 22 0
ODI 0 212 29 239 299 105 23 0
CDI 0 102 16 198 553 309 65 0
VCDI 0 0 1 94 730 2303 9963 3923
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72531 14530 167 476 178 50 82 0
OW 74 568 58 422 98 11 14 0
VODI 0 275 39 416 286 25 7 0
ODI 0 101 16 251 456 75 12 0
CDI 0 11 3 134 535 314 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 50 678 2469 7760 5898
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72077 14481 128 434 257 99 95 0
OW 74 692 80 415 74 5 9 0
VODI 0 374 55 506 324 15 8 0
ODI 0 132 23 279 507 36 15 0
CDI 0 65 9 190 563 280 75 0
VCDI 0 3 3 105 988 2978 7546 5101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72077 14530 132 471 267 95 61 0
OW 74 628 68 371 66 11 40 0
VODI 0 386 62 502 317 18 9 0
ODI 0 146 27 284 502 34 18 0
CDI 0 54 6 204 555 290 82 0
VCDI 0 3 3 97 1006 2965 7538 5101

Date: 2022-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70882 14689 139 552 363 147 107 0
OW 76 604 46 323 162 35 7 0
VODI 0 356 56 476 405 91 15 0
ODI 0 90 20 290 488 91 30 0
CDI 0 43 11 227 616 357 85 0
VCDI 0 16 8 167 896 3165 8069 4900
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70882 14793 147 619 407 120 86 0
OW 76 513 43 267 142 75 26 0
VODI 0 328 53 459 356 87 17 0
ODI 0 112 17 290 511 82 35 0
CDI 0 43 16 228 594 367 79 0
VCDI 0 9 4 172 920 3155 8070 4900

Date: 2022-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70837 14904 178 649 259 72 41 0
OW 60 416 47 416 173 22 19 0
VODI 0 181 33 453 515 35 28 0
ODI 0 38 9 183 710 169 26 0
CDI 0 16 7 69 655 545 34 0
VCDI 0 12 2 84 503 3041 8684 4975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70837 14695 175 693 344 104 68 0
OW 60 429 35 313 179 81 42 0
VODI 0 256 28 333 418 77 24 0
ODI 0 87 20 225 500 162 11 0
CDI 0 57 6 137 596 316 62 0
VCDI 0 43 12 153 778 3144 8625 4975

Date: 2022-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70225 15192 156 523 307 86 92 0
OW 60 532 54 365 167 24 21 0
VODI 0 253 53 410 307 82 24 0
ODI 0 76 17 307 500 169 35 0
CDI 0 46 9 187 670 397 82 0
VCDI 0 11 8 180 995 3022 8486 4970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70225 14968 149 546 398 126 129 0
OW 60 493 45 292 140 111 40 0
VODI 0 357 45 328 235 102 47 0
ODI 0 133 26 263 370 146 51 0
CDI 0 84 13 226 560 249 85 0
VCDI 0 75 19 317 1243 3046 8388 4970

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69503 15299 152 801 370 85 17 0
OW 60 438 56 363 261 25 16 0
VODI 0 183 31 346 456 99 11 0
ODI 0 68 15 204 500 220 1 0
CDI 0 37 4 147 691 671 31 0
VCDI 0 13 4 97 830 3528 8254 5213
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69503 15116 172 926 434 111 38 0
OW 60 404 26 265 334 134 6 0
VODI 0 250 30 269 407 181 30 0
ODI 0 108 14 161 356 237 17 0
CDI 0 94 9 144 666 550 47 0
VCDI 0 66 11 193 911 3415 8192 5213


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 28 Jan 2022 02:59:17 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy