Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 8 60 3 0 0 0
OW 0 16 1 25 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 5 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 3 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 6 18 71 6 6
VCDI 0 3 1 21 120 607 5358 25628
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 4 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 4 31 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 0 28 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 9 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 13 0 11 9 22 18 0
VCDI 0 14 2 53 150 644 8608 22323
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 3 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 3 29 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 1 35 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 17 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 8 16 22 23 57
VCDI 0 0 0 6 73 347 5524 25779
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 3 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 6 38 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 23 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 13 1 12 16 14 14 27
VCDI 0 11 3 34 132 593 5432 25539
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 2 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 5 35 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 2 21 7 3 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 15 15 11 18 33
VCDI 0 11 3 35 135 595 5428 25533

Date: 2022-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 6 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 3 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 2 27 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 1 18 2 17 2 0
CDI 0 32 1 15 9 53 52 56
VCDI 0 63 3 102 206 705 9454 21084
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 6 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 3 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 2 22 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 1 17 1 18 2 0
CDI 0 29 1 16 9 56 56 46
VCDI 0 68 3 103 207 701 9450 21094

Date: 2022-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 12 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 5 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 3 22 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 0 6 0 5 0 0
CDI 0 29 1 11 6 66 49 6
VCDI 0 111 5 136 192 982 9834 20345
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 7 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 5 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 5 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 1 16 0 17 6 0
CDI 0 35 2 6 17 81 58 15
VCDI 0 163 6 148 181 955 9819 20336

Date: 2022-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 6 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 2 42 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 3 36 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 0 11 0 5 0 0
CDI 0 33 1 6 0 57 35 16
VCDI 0 110 5 103 156 799 8310 22154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 5 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 0 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 53 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 3 19 0 16 9 0
CDI 0 35 1 8 0 61 39 33
VCDI 0 163 7 111 156 784 8297 22137

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 4 13 19 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 15 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 23 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 18 33 1 0 0
CDI 0 25 1 11 11 58 19 14
VCDI 0 79 7 81 211 704 8054 22532
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 3 9 17 0 0 0
OW 0 11 1 12 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 8 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 6 34 0 3 0
CDI 0 23 3 25 23 59 43 3
VCDI 0 98 10 101 204 704 8027 22543


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