Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 8 52 4 0 0 0
OW 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 38 1 1 0 6 21 7
VCDI 0 139 16 116 125 191 3090 28046
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 11 33 10 0 0 0
OW 0 27 0 22 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 2 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 1 3 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 34 1 21 10 23 1 10
VCDI 0 150 11 136 194 333 3734 27158
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 13 90 12 0 0 0
OW 0 15 0 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 2 13 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 0 9 3 3 0 0
CDI 0 13 1 36 43 29 11 56
VCDI 0 16 4 161 265 409 4740 26026
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 10 64 5 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 28 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 9 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 0 7 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 13 3 64 14 14
VCDI 0 9 3 36 193 919 7202 23359
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 10 73 13 0 0 0
OW 0 14 1 19 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 7 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 7 5 2 0 0
CDI 0 14 0 12 7 64 15 12
VCDI 0 9 4 39 193 919 7201 23361

Date: 2022-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 6 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 36 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 23 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 10 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 3 11 11 19 21 0
VCDI 0 1 1 27 151 555 6566 24479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 5 38 1 0 0 0
OW 0 15 3 33 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 1 22 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 10 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 10 12 15 20 0
VCDI 0 3 2 32 152 559 6567 24479

Date: 2022-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 0 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 36 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 2 30 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 0 14 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 10 2 7 13 33 21 65
VCDI 0 2 0 22 131 464 6947 24137
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 0 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 0 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 35 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 17 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 12 0 10 7 47 27 48
VCDI 0 8 2 33 150 450 6941 24154

Date: 2022-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 3 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 5 32 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 52 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 24 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 13 17 13 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 92 384 5165 26152
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 1 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 0 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 6 27 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 41 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 25 14 22 30 15
VCDI 0 4 1 30 120 374 5137 26137

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 2 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 3 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 3 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 16 11 9 0 0
CDI 0 16 1 18 17 31 47 0
VCDI 0 26 2 65 186 641 8354 22432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 1 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 3 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 2 14 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 35 0 9 16 4 40 10
VCDI 0 80 6 92 198 677 8361 22422


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