Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75416 13512 126 515 275 162 101 0
OW 74 459 80 285 140 22 38 0
VODI 0 150 49 401 301 59 11 0
ODI 0 15 4 231 380 124 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 538 390 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 753 3267 7647 3395
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75778 13123 105 409 282 272 43 0
OW 72 579 35 228 107 13 22 0
VODI 0 295 47 274 239 66 31 0
ODI 0 60 29 262 236 89 13 0
CDI 0 13 9 173 417 289 13 0
VCDI 0 1 2 114 777 2814 7780 3989
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74727 13799 150 502 295 330 57 0
OW 72 352 66 351 72 16 10 0
VODI 0 113 29 417 240 25 15 0
ODI 0 15 5 184 392 61 18 0
CDI 0 3 3 85 511 284 66 0
VCDI 0 2 4 63 529 1956 8549 4732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73980 13938 159 529 357 417 15 0
OW 72 418 60 332 101 16 18 0
VODI 0 186 28 341 267 33 23 0
ODI 0 33 14 171 377 75 27 0
CDI 0 10 5 132 455 310 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 601 1951 8641 4891
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73980 13946 162 557 351 414 14 0
OW 72 413 56 290 108 19 20 0
VODI 0 194 33 351 268 34 23 0
ODI 0 23 11 182 365 64 26 0
CDI 0 9 4 124 437 264 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 629 2007 8669 4891

Date: 2022-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73862 13656 160 516 332 355 44 0
OW 75 485 46 314 88 21 19 0
VODI 0 264 22 316 291 36 16 0
ODI 0 102 25 180 385 61 17 0
CDI 0 22 3 139 524 312 46 0
VCDI 0 3 2 40 624 2149 8623 4925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73864 13642 158 553 325 351 50 0
OW 73 480 46 287 105 23 13 0
VODI 0 277 26 314 282 38 17 0
ODI 0 105 21 175 380 61 18 0
CDI 0 26 6 135 504 303 47 0
VCDI 0 2 1 41 648 2158 8620 4925

Date: 2022-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73382 14388 159 559 262 373 78 0
OW 91 422 67 340 101 62 19 0
VODI 0 209 38 418 227 12 18 0
ODI 0 89 9 210 361 32 17 0
CDI 0 19 4 171 560 190 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 850 2042 8165 5073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73400 13897 154 516 317 407 106 0
OW 73 535 46 261 75 36 16 0
VODI 0 339 36 347 159 19 24 0
ODI 0 173 19 240 249 31 22 0
CDI 0 144 17 179 450 152 36 0
VCDI 0 39 5 214 1111 2066 8117 5073

Date: 2022-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73496 13356 160 738 328 278 115 0
OW 133 444 43 281 186 34 32 0
VODI 39 265 25 251 346 22 30 0
ODI 2 159 12 188 341 59 26 0
CDI 0 84 3 156 439 267 55 0
VCDI 0 14 1 86 750 2207 7648 6001
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73573 13027 150 699 360 305 152 0
OW 96 509 43 254 181 15 32 0
VODI 1 391 24 229 300 28 38 0
ODI 0 203 12 148 305 57 40 0
CDI 0 151 9 166 354 202 50 0
VCDI 0 41 6 204 890 2260 7594 6001

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72507 14056 163 706 337 101 101 0
OW 77 506 48 297 196 23 26 0
VODI 1 387 25 252 331 51 23 0
ODI 0 179 24 194 324 84 47 0
CDI 0 131 13 205 419 331 91 0
VCDI 0 6 0 116 684 2045 10057 3936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72508 13890 154 682 401 134 161 0
OW 77 588 51 297 181 50 32 0
VODI 0 355 28 254 279 80 43 0
ODI 0 210 16 171 311 88 58 0
CDI 0 191 16 150 442 255 101 0
VCDI 0 31 8 216 677 2028 9950 3936


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