Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 1 2 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 0 5 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 22 0 2 6 14 0 0
CDI 0 28 0 1 3 98 30 3
VCDI 0 66 9 75 138 1186 6023 24130
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 0 2 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 25 0 4 0 14 0 0
CDI 0 28 0 3 7 87 32 24
VCDI 0 108 11 59 128 606 4422 26290
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 174 4 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 1 1 0 4 0 0
CDI 0 35 1 2 8 83 21 0
VCDI 0 131 11 74 163 866 6628 23749
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 8 49 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 33 1 1 0 12 11 4
VCDI 0 146 16 102 119 264 4232 26848
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 8 49 1 0 0 0
OW 0 37 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 32 1 1 0 7 11 4
VCDI 0 151 16 102 119 269 4232 26848

Date: 2022-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 7 41 19 0 0 0
OW 0 36 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 0 0 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 34 1 0 0 50 0 9
VCDI 0 150 14 123 119 400 3267 27632
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 7 41 19 0 0 0
OW 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 0 0 0 3 0 0
CDI 0 31 1 0 0 52 0 10
VCDI 0 156 14 123 119 397 3267 27631

Date: 2022-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 11 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 0 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 1 9 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 2 4 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 33 2 24 6 35 2 4
VCDI 0 39 5 206 203 342 4359 26535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 10 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 1 26 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 1 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 0 9 3 3 0 0
CDI 0 25 4 28 9 38 3 7
VCDI 0 72 5 206 199 337 4358 26532

Date: 2022-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 11 79 11 0 0 0
OW 0 22 0 22 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 12 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 11 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 14 0 19 10 37 37 37
VCDI 0 12 3 106 306 670 5896 24677
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 11 57 3 0 0 0
OW 0 20 0 25 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 0 19 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 1 11 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 11 5 29 24 5
VCDI 0 21 3 126 314 678 5909 24709

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 8 60 3 0 0 0
OW 0 16 1 25 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 5 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 3 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 6 18 71 6 6
VCDI 0 3 1 21 120 607 5358 25628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 6 46 1 0 0 0
OW 0 18 3 26 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 16 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 4 12 2 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 7 18 61 7 35
VCDI 0 0 0 21 124 615 5357 25599


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