Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 283 13 48 9 0 0 0
OW 0 68 8 76 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 5 162 77 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 36 163 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 136 123 4 2
VCDI 0 0 0 8 123 586 3797 26271
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 176 12 33 2 0 0 0
OW 0 11 5 32 66 13 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 25 126 23 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 15 138 52 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 131 169 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 118 617 3089 27192
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 3 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 1 17 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 3 15 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 18 43 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 39 325 9 8
VCDI 0 0 0 5 103 833 5892 24452
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 4 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 1 2 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 1 7 13 2 0 0
ODI 0 18 2 5 10 7 0 0
CDI 0 16 1 12 6 103 34 8
VCDI 0 23 5 83 172 675 5201 25441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 162 4 3 2 0 0 0
OW 0 27 1 3 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 1 7 14 3 0 0
ODI 0 18 1 5 10 28 1 0
CDI 0 14 2 11 5 91 93 11
VCDI 0 25 5 84 172 665 5141 25438

Date: 2021-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 0 3 4 5 0 0
ODI 0 26 0 4 0 13 0 0
CDI 0 29 0 2 10 102 31 21
VCDI 0 90 11 69 159 834 5845 24587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 175 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 0 3 3 6 0 0
ODI 0 21 0 4 0 13 0 0
CDI 0 27 1 3 10 120 33 21
VCDI 0 88 10 68 159 815 5843 24587

Date: 2021-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 184 6 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 0 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 0 2 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 26 1 3 4 82 10 0
VCDI 0 93 11 65 128 844 5725 24786
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 135 5 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 1 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 0 3 0 14 0 0
CDI 0 30 0 3 5 94 24 1
VCDI 0 126 12 66 127 818 5711 24785

Date: 2021-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 162 4 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 0 0 0 5 0 0
CDI 0 37 1 1 0 43 15 0
VCDI 0 157 14 72 120 744 6050 24524
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 4 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 0 0 0 8 0 0
CDI 0 38 1 1 0 52 33 0
VCDI 0 194 14 72 120 732 6032 24524

Date: 2021-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 8 52 4 0 0 0
OW 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 38 1 1 0 6 21 7
VCDI 0 139 16 116 125 191 3090 28046
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 5 25 3 0 0 0
OW 0 45 3 22 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 0 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 1 1 0 1 6 0
CDI 0 40 0 3 0 6 17 32
VCDI 0 153 16 113 125 190 3088 28021


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