Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80375 11147 97 434 410 285 1 0
OW 60 325 37 256 90 26 0 0
VODI 0 153 28 225 230 51 0 0
ODI 0 37 16 155 250 70 9 0
CDI 0 9 5 124 412 259 37 0
VCDI 0 3 2 33 558 2436 6303 4152
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80107 11274 103 408 409 192 0 0
OW 58 440 39 213 99 17 0 0
VODI 1 227 19 217 216 62 0 0
ODI 0 60 18 153 291 69 1 0
CDI 0 26 15 123 413 236 8 0
VCDI 0 2 4 74 606 2712 6285 3903
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79966 11686 111 526 254 206 13 0
OW 54 257 35 293 130 1 0 0
VODI 0 141 27 265 329 32 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 130 331 76 0 0
CDI 0 17 5 83 417 420 3 0
VCDI 0 3 1 55 572 3313 5844 3462
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79187 12027 134 538 315 173 14 0
OW 52 263 40 263 159 12 0 0
VODI 0 89 27 277 298 64 0 0
ODI 0 42 7 138 309 150 0 0
CDI 0 32 9 88 391 385 14 0
VCDI 0 6 4 58 470 2850 6155 4060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79187 12016 136 549 310 174 14 0
OW 52 261 39 263 163 11 0 0
VODI 0 98 26 253 286 55 0 0
ODI 0 50 7 141 316 147 0 0
CDI 0 26 8 94 389 366 24 0
VCDI 0 8 5 62 478 2881 6145 4060

Date: 2021-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78873 11863 124 474 324 146 13 0
OW 58 375 48 339 237 25 0 0
VODI 0 83 26 288 300 91 0 0
ODI 0 19 1 135 290 184 2 0
CDI 0 21 3 114 301 444 99 5
VCDI 0 17 7 97 559 1672 7154 4289
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78875 11843 127 505 324 149 13 0
OW 56 377 43 325 206 23 0 0
VODI 0 92 26 260 325 76 0 0
ODI 0 26 3 137 291 176 1 0
CDI 0 24 3 117 303 450 84 5
VCDI 0 16 7 103 562 1688 7170 4289

Date: 2021-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78834 12011 125 365 182 88 26 0
OW 59 348 55 363 78 1 0 0
VODI 0 98 31 447 421 14 0 0
ODI 0 14 3 86 493 102 3 0
CDI 0 4 3 43 390 683 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 413 1768 6879 4523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78830 11966 129 438 212 89 26 0
OW 63 332 40 286 142 5 0 0
VODI 0 124 33 357 375 56 0 0
ODI 0 31 7 129 292 123 0 0
CDI 0 16 5 60 346 339 11 0
VCDI 0 6 3 58 610 2044 6994 4523

Date: 2021-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78245 12388 134 422 227 107 17 0
OW 62 252 45 336 99 19 0 0
VODI 0 92 12 366 315 59 0 0
ODI 0 31 4 93 499 93 2 0
CDI 0 18 4 31 447 450 45 0
VCDI 0 8 4 69 573 2452 6456 4624
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78242 12269 131 447 265 111 17 0
OW 65 291 38 252 123 33 0 0
VODI 0 126 21 324 327 125 0 0
ODI 0 38 2 165 387 146 0 0
CDI 0 33 2 50 415 367 44 0
VCDI 0 32 9 79 643 2398 6459 4624

Date: 2021-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78748 11841 116 344 224 90 1 0
OW 67 371 50 234 130 22 0 0
VODI 0 124 30 321 248 43 0 0
ODI 0 33 2 157 399 65 0 0
CDI 0 18 6 40 458 289 25 0
VCDI 0 5 8 86 457 2454 7825 3769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78742 11546 104 356 265 105 1 0
OW 73 465 36 169 96 28 0 0
VODI 0 247 37 214 227 49 0 0
ODI 0 54 20 223 334 99 0 0
CDI 0 26 3 124 455 353 59 0
VCDI 0 54 12 96 539 2329 7791 3769


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 24 Dec 2021 02:56:20 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy