Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1003 47 182 71 0 0 0
OW 0 14 9 123 107 10 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 75 124 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 107 95 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 54 236 40 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 733 9015 19886
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 759 41 187 90 17 0 0
OW 0 11 4 62 138 63 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 154 98 24 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 62 92 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 36 127 182 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 550 8227 21070
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 687 33 139 41 0 0 0
OW 0 53 11 104 94 3 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 56 189 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 140 77 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 39 216 13 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 823 7602 21692
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 572 23 85 38 0 0 0
OW 0 73 8 83 51 4 0 0
VODI 0 46 4 69 135 8 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 27 150 49 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 16 95 130 13 8
VCDI 0 0 0 1 65 652 5207 24445
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 579 24 99 39 0 0 0
OW 0 68 7 74 55 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 5 67 132 12 0 0
ODI 0 22 3 23 149 39 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 18 85 132 16 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 74 659 5204 24442

Date: 2021-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 476 11 48 27 0 0 0
OW 0 108 9 68 60 2 0 0
VODI 0 65 3 59 73 10 0 0
ODI 0 32 1 35 86 44 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 19 62 174 35 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 834 6948 22720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 489 15 68 46 0 0 0
OW 0 97 5 52 50 4 0 0
VODI 0 63 3 56 64 13 0 0
ODI 0 24 0 37 81 33 0 0
CDI 0 15 3 14 66 159 39 11
VCDI 0 0 0 2 50 855 6944 22724

Date: 2021-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 624 18 56 21 0 0 0
OW 0 93 11 68 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 10 68 64 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 3 49 110 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 33 132 61 4 12
VCDI 0 0 0 20 94 781 6113 23526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 525 16 66 40 0 0 0
OW 0 87 4 31 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 10 49 55 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 9 53 85 4 0 0
CDI 0 36 4 46 115 72 27 31
VCDI 0 12 2 49 136 766 6090 23507

Date: 2021-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 567 14 61 11 0 0 0
OW 0 115 11 66 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 9 90 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 3 112 85 0 0 0
CDI 0 8 4 69 173 21 0 29
VCDI 0 0 0 37 373 1281 4345 24411
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 496 14 84 33 0 0 0
OW 0 103 8 33 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 5 81 44 0 0 0
ODI 0 69 5 104 65 0 0 0
CDI 0 37 7 72 178 34 0 1
VCDI 0 20 2 61 376 1268 4345 24439

Date: 2021-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 490 16 80 23 0 0 0
OW 0 111 11 50 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 8 57 60 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 6 72 91 3 0 0
CDI 0 8 5 79 115 26 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 267 908 5811 23611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 398 17 96 55 0 0 0
OW 0 117 7 25 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 4 63 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 9 40 88 11 0 0
CDI 0 28 7 83 111 114 5 3
VCDI 0 13 2 54 272 812 5810 23608


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