Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-11-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 710 2101 18 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 204 7 55 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 25 135 94 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 5 68 127 12 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 159 133 72 21
VCDI 0 0 0 22 256 1360 6271 19933
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 409 2031 11 67 8 0 0 0
OW 0 201 15 63 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 7 146 104 8 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 73 219 39 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 3 194 103 89 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1308 7292 19457
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63 2060 34 174 45 0 0 0
OW 1 72 17 99 98 1 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 83 102 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 29 146 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 179 335 24 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 1698 10287 16291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 1706 42 214 51 1 0 0
OW 1 41 12 124 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 28 0 54 192 30 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 14 110 60 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 43 92 150 36 13
VCDI 0 0 0 27 197 870 6990 20778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 1715 47 257 49 1 0 0
OW 1 32 6 87 124 4 0 0
VODI 0 29 1 49 219 25 0 0
ODI 0 20 2 13 102 63 1 0
CDI 0 3 1 33 79 139 42 13
VCDI 0 0 1 37 195 882 6983 20778

Date: 2021-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 1747 22 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 144 24 138 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 12 158 54 8 0 0
ODI 0 30 4 55 99 43 0 0
CDI 0 12 3 28 120 64 23 5
VCDI 0 0 0 30 159 1017 5347 22586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 1764 23 64 4 0 0 0
OW 0 134 22 157 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 13 125 75 25 0 0
ODI 0 23 4 50 106 45 0 0
CDI 0 11 1 26 98 59 24 7
VCDI 0 6 2 34 154 1003 5346 22584

Date: 2021-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 1711 24 47 7 0 0 0
OW 0 123 21 108 15 1 0 0
VODI 0 63 8 135 85 7 0 0
ODI 0 39 1 35 161 35 0 0
CDI 0 28 5 22 79 93 17 19
VCDI 0 24 10 75 216 1053 5981 21813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 1575 24 62 9 0 0 0
OW 0 151 16 82 33 6 0 0
VODI 0 119 7 101 118 37 0 0
ODI 0 61 7 47 93 30 7 0
CDI 0 44 4 32 59 82 24 34
VCDI 0 38 11 98 251 1034 5967 21798

Date: 2021-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1388 26 95 2 0 0 0
OW 0 76 17 131 34 1 0 0
VODI 0 25 9 99 106 8 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 46 139 27 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 18 152 86 62 2
VCDI 0 0 2 35 201 1396 7103 20778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1262 24 89 0 0 0 0
OW 0 139 7 86 35 1 0 0
VODI 0 71 19 117 115 10 0 0
ODI 0 20 3 63 144 44 0 0
CDI 0 10 4 26 131 99 49 14
VCDI 0 0 1 43 209 1364 7116 20766

Date: 2021-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1003 47 182 71 0 0 0
OW 0 14 9 123 107 10 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 75 124 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 107 95 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 54 236 40 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 733 9015 19886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 839 23 150 82 1 0 0
OW 0 131 13 72 75 24 0 0
VODI 0 44 18 83 77 85 1 0
ODI 0 4 4 66 71 72 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 114 115 45 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 826 9012 19889


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