Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-11-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1432 1901 2 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 330 2 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 188 21 73 20 24 0 0
ODI 0 78 10 121 75 161 14 0
CDI 0 29 6 137 227 390 170 102
VCDI 0 0 0 135 794 4763 9395 11435
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 926 2067 6 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 248 12 121 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 21 170 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 140 128 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 70 209 294 199 3
VCDI 0 0 0 2 640 3442 10891 12206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 735 2240 21 65 20 0 0 0
OW 0 99 12 84 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 8 170 128 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 162 66 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 138 394 97 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 2626 10020 14791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 586 2315 23 68 3 0 0 0
OW 0 173 8 71 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 22 133 100 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 79 102 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 185 124 146 70
VCDI 0 0 0 6 217 1466 9276 16724
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 586 2339 21 60 3 0 0 0
OW 0 146 13 65 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 19 126 103 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 93 67 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 184 111 140 69
VCDI 0 0 0 10 257 1482 9282 16725

Date: 2021-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 573 2051 14 70 7 0 0 0
OW 0 193 11 49 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 7 144 159 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 7 100 167 16 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 191 96 73 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 206 1541 6136 20105
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 573 2088 14 67 6 0 0 0
OW 0 152 13 71 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 5 117 152 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 7 91 134 12 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 186 68 72 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 256 1573 6137 20114

Date: 2021-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 221 2169 24 110 21 0 0 0
OW 1 80 17 97 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 6 120 88 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 309 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 129 304 46 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1248 10589 16339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 222 2013 26 116 8 0 0 0
OW 0 160 10 77 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 9 97 134 2 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 49 206 66 2 0
CDI 0 2 1 18 123 157 103 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 1404 10530 16329

Date: 2021-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99 1823 43 196 56 0 0 0
OW 1 37 8 108 108 2 0 0
VODI 0 23 3 54 185 21 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 26 123 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 151 228 68 15
VCDI 0 0 0 4 166 1434 10114 16914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99 1725 39 176 30 0 0 0
OW 1 74 7 77 102 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 5 71 191 9 0 0
ODI 0 28 2 45 76 69 8 0
CDI 0 10 1 23 154 183 79 38
VCDI 0 2 1 9 236 1480 10095 16891

Date: 2021-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 1712 31 135 37 0 0 0
OW 1 90 15 137 93 5 0 0
VODI 0 31 10 59 132 51 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 25 86 84 0 0
CDI 0 9 2 23 88 107 18 8
VCDI 0 1 1 20 184 884 6422 21512
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 1546 21 90 45 1 0 0
OW 1 132 10 64 40 15 0 0
VODI 0 72 13 115 111 36 0 0
ODI 0 50 8 32 73 89 0 5
CDI 0 37 4 45 80 106 18 123
VCDI 0 32 5 53 271 884 6422 21392


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