Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-11-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97291 15955 181 772 276 66 0 0
OW 73 964 73 655 508 61 0 0
VODI 0 448 66 698 668 142 0 0
ODI 0 135 26 354 841 334 15 0
CDI 0 43 9 202 1013 1028 189 102
VCDI 0 4 1 212 1392 11330 24074 26847
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96215 14932 154 892 305 99 0 0
OW 136 1174 89 765 736 99 0 0
VODI 0 288 66 790 1015 174 7 0
ODI 0 90 27 496 901 187 33 0
CDI 0 93 8 217 889 770 273 3
VCDI 0 59 8 137 1591 9327 24405 29598
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95864 15133 176 828 292 25 0 0
OW 29 387 75 631 387 25 0 0
VODI 0 104 30 653 1032 168 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 355 1399 592 1 0
CDI 0 24 6 113 1235 1389 138 2
VCDI 0 15 3 66 1000 6627 21770 36467
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94051 15569 164 848 316 18 0 0
OW 129 774 76 649 380 19 0 0
VODI 2 223 58 638 761 116 8 0
ODI 0 20 14 314 903 360 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 189 1166 1207 157 70
VCDI 0 0 1 97 1762 6107 21251 38622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94052 15599 171 907 345 22 0 0
OW 125 706 70 578 406 22 1 0
VODI 5 259 57 584 717 133 7 0
ODI 0 24 14 382 764 292 0 0
CDI 0 4 4 199 1376 1045 143 69
VCDI 0 0 0 85 1680 6313 21265 38623

Date: 2021-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92764 14736 147 814 447 63 0 0
OW 70 929 83 638 538 75 2 0
VODI 51 355 45 511 967 215 4 0
ODI 1 36 13 273 772 488 4 0
CDI 0 4 5 90 718 1399 126 31
VCDI 0 0 0 28 998 7435 21029 40144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92762 14793 159 907 452 74 0 0
OW 67 841 74 554 586 92 2 0
VODI 57 370 42 450 888 253 7 0
ODI 0 53 13 302 703 399 1 0
CDI 0 3 5 117 754 1281 103 22
VCDI 0 0 0 24 1057 7576 21052 40153

Date: 2021-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91383 15115 175 845 372 121 0 0
OW 60 648 95 593 421 110 0 0
VODI 19 187 32 624 811 166 1 0
ODI 1 35 12 188 1209 529 21 0
CDI 0 1 4 83 685 1873 197 1
VCDI 0 0 0 36 453 6082 23258 40602
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91304 14301 175 999 594 218 1 0
OW 95 944 73 493 485 144 12 0
VODI 33 494 34 397 914 324 40 0
ODI 31 194 19 176 621 532 36 0
CDI 0 49 15 186 550 796 169 11
VCDI 0 4 2 118 787 6867 23219 40592

Date: 2021-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91001 14203 159 816 569 132 0 0
OW 101 473 47 593 582 213 0 0
VODI 66 287 24 356 999 299 0 0
ODI 18 106 14 153 618 599 16 0
CDI 0 40 6 126 564 1300 224 15
VCDI 0 2 2 74 577 5180 19817 46677
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90870 13421 136 833 757 264 0 0
OW 125 762 49 453 691 194 0 0
VODI 81 520 32 349 814 605 64 0
ODI 101 236 15 166 357 645 72 0
CDI 9 114 10 144 426 879 267 38
VCDI 0 58 10 173 864 5136 19654 46654

Date: 2021-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90107 14453 135 602 330 298 1 0
OW 58 594 49 341 347 470 8 0
VODI 1 344 42 335 607 730 7 0
ODI 0 158 20 270 418 722 86 0
CDI 0 57 12 134 481 877 296 8
VCDI 0 18 7 109 628 4755 16633 51500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90001 13472 109 510 343 623 14 0
OW 139 877 45 235 377 534 3 0
VODI 26 583 42 369 594 794 132 0
ODI 0 319 31 254 305 615 264 5
CDI 0 197 15 182 329 726 372 123
VCDI 0 176 23 241 863 4560 16246 51380


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