Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-11-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1649 1761 21 126 4 0 0 0
OW 0 129 7 123 200 69 0 0
VODI 0 43 12 59 292 427 57 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 121 624 153 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 31 1213 277 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 3674 9757 11210
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 905 2254 14 49 1 0 0 0
OW 0 138 9 141 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 12 79 222 189 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 91 451 306 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 565 830 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1223 9740 14623
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 935 2372 9 25 1 0 0 0
OW 0 87 19 76 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 10 139 80 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 214 43 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 63 703 336 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 1385 9384 16005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1555 1965 2 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 268 1 19 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 20 43 18 84 9 0
ODI 0 83 17 113 41 140 48 8
CDI 0 34 3 117 247 360 186 47
VCDI 0 0 0 45 639 3131 9398 13235
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1555 1970 2 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 240 0 17 0 5 0 0
VODI 0 187 20 43 16 99 21 0
ODI 0 96 16 104 42 135 60 5
CDI 0 44 5 110 176 320 212 52
VCDI 0 7 0 68 712 3156 9348 13233

Date: 2021-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1195 1969 9 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 348 9 64 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 191 21 88 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 16 128 103 77 13 0
CDI 0 2 2 120 232 508 134 1
VCDI 0 0 0 155 888 4498 9908 11285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1195 2020 10 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 304 10 64 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 18 80 32 14 0 0
ODI 0 61 13 98 88 104 25 0
CDI 0 8 6 112 219 451 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 196 922 4514 9863 11286

Date: 2021-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 847 2246 20 81 13 0 0 0
OW 0 105 19 103 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 8 177 90 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 262 21 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 253 288 59 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 174 3190 9567 14447
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 847 1940 6 60 8 0 0 0
OW 0 244 9 75 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 21 117 91 2 0 0
ODI 0 14 9 100 104 39 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 37 188 247 147 5
VCDI 0 0 0 19 385 3212 9485 14449

Date: 2021-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 569 2332 21 63 6 0 0 0
OW 0 112 13 82 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 9 153 153 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 169 51 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 66 320 132 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1674 10631 15385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 569 2038 5 32 4 0 0 0
OW 0 247 13 34 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 171 16 128 140 13 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 77 94 41 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 113 158 119 41
VCDI 0 0 0 1 85 1842 10645 15370

Date: 2021-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 710 2101 18 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 204 7 55 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 25 135 94 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 5 68 127 12 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 159 133 72 21
VCDI 0 0 0 22 256 1360 6271 19933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 710 1697 9 41 2 0 0 0
OW 0 234 5 23 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 283 7 49 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 155 23 97 94 3 0 1
CDI 0 57 5 76 76 33 50 51
VCDI 0 39 6 96 440 1469 6309 19902


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