Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-10-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3023 3029 73 431 115 1 0 0
OW 0 390 72 913 1267 422 0 0
VODI 0 83 20 306 1079 918 57 0
ODI 0 17 6 119 394 800 87 0
CDI 0 4 2 69 314 1016 456 2
VCDI 0 0 0 15 439 1867 6831 7445
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2941 2217 35 210 24 0 0 0
OW 0 597 48 493 515 127 0 0
VODI 0 69 15 299 1400 1409 269 0
ODI 0 0 1 82 505 1039 143 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 363 882 487 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 237 1875 7689 8078
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2243 1967 29 191 41 0 0 0
OW 0 104 15 380 241 1 0 0
VODI 0 15 2 179 734 67 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 910 387 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 524 2873 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 2802 6857 11176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1702 1911 17 114 13 3 0 0
OW 0 133 11 146 218 65 0 0
VODI 0 28 8 88 362 435 72 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 213 599 119 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 109 1851 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 3816 9121 10677
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1702 1942 19 176 89 20 0 0
OW 0 101 8 95 150 70 17 0
VODI 0 29 9 84 332 464 67 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 218 678 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 104 1628 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 3909 9143 10677

Date: 2021-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1437 1845 15 56 2 0 0 0
OW 0 150 10 135 158 15 0 0
VODI 0 31 12 73 208 354 66 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 96 527 249 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 898 506 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2343 9912 12952
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1437 1903 21 128 32 1 0 0
OW 0 92 7 71 158 86 0 0
VODI 0 31 9 70 172 255 145 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 96 483 223 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 920 368 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2392 9997 12952

Date: 2021-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 900 2336 13 43 5 0 0 0
OW 0 69 16 79 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 9 65 167 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 189 173 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 26 953 384 148
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1036 8134 17218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 900 2192 10 37 15 0 0 0
OW 0 158 14 79 69 25 0 0
VODI 0 70 12 49 193 129 67 0
ODI 0 0 2 26 95 246 283 53
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 558 476 237
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 1204 7708 17076

Date: 2021-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1473 2012 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 230 2 12 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 27 60 15 60 43 0
ODI 0 29 13 170 52 152 52 0
CDI 0 0 1 71 342 253 230 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 250 2766 10177 13422
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1473 1794 3 7 7 0 0 0
OW 0 268 5 25 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 258 18 84 87 6 0 0
ODI 0 87 18 133 105 113 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 61 187 323 131 42
VCDI 0 0 0 9 278 2789 10371 13387

Date: 2021-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1432 1901 2 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 330 2 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 188 21 73 20 24 0 0
ODI 0 78 10 121 75 161 14 0
CDI 0 29 6 137 227 390 170 102
VCDI 0 0 0 135 794 4763 9395 11435
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1432 2005 2 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 274 8 61 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 193 20 96 85 3 0 0
ODI 0 28 8 103 131 121 26 0
CDI 0 25 3 77 162 303 171 0
VCDI 0 1 0 145 735 4911 9382 11537


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