Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-10-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107700 13572 170 800 211 4 0 0
OW 18 1243 121 1239 1396 433 0 0
VODI 0 414 69 748 1366 960 57 0
ODI 0 96 36 426 762 863 87 0
CDI 0 20 11 280 957 1308 456 2
VCDI 0 0 2 83 1286 8094 16439 25319
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106728 12815 123 608 153 0 0 0
OW 31 1494 109 957 656 146 0 0
VODI 1 377 57 756 1822 1476 269 0
ODI 0 55 33 358 959 1152 143 0
CDI 0 18 5 208 1108 1194 542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 1115 7583 18673 25270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105048 13833 163 657 217 5 0 0
OW 15 453 83 882 390 22 0 0
VODI 0 113 36 770 1160 159 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 162 1524 607 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 1087 3714 299 2
VCDI 0 0 0 4 368 7681 18477 29059
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103433 14018 149 728 241 33 0 0
OW 10 646 77 648 396 101 0 0
VODI 0 181 47 707 802 498 75 0
ODI 0 27 7 232 790 737 134 0
CDI 0 5 3 71 749 2374 297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 269 8495 20432 29621
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103432 14158 169 897 343 53 0 0
OW 11 504 56 491 325 97 17 0
VODI 0 181 46 664 725 541 68 0
ODI 0 28 9 245 780 825 94 0
CDI 0 6 3 90 770 2160 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 304 8562 20461 29621

Date: 2021-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101857 14254 156 717 318 25 0 0
OW 11 843 83 626 489 70 0 0
VODI 0 192 40 536 824 466 66 0
ODI 0 24 3 182 710 671 276 0
CDI 0 17 2 56 559 1481 587 0
VCDI 0 5 1 30 306 6308 22795 31462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101857 14455 168 889 445 27 0 0
OW 11 630 81 485 405 134 0 0
VODI 0 198 30 503 746 369 147 0
ODI 0 26 4 171 683 613 246 0
CDI 0 19 1 70 581 1514 436 0
VCDI 0 7 1 29 346 6364 22895 31462

Date: 2021-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99720 16063 171 664 222 13 0 0
OW 14 486 91 751 179 19 0 0
VODI 0 131 25 665 872 71 0 0
ODI 0 29 7 123 1158 524 16 0
CDI 0 21 3 67 581 1759 402 148
VCDI 0 10 5 49 452 6552 22236 32749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99719 15605 151 858 408 27 0 0
OW 15 667 74 578 410 78 0 0
VODI 0 392 60 476 744 298 67 0
ODI 0 45 12 205 598 471 283 53
CDI 0 17 0 113 646 1003 520 237
VCDI 0 14 5 89 658 7061 21784 32607

Date: 2021-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98961 15622 180 927 313 38 0 0
OW 34 771 58 650 378 42 0 0
VODI 0 363 61 660 612 159 43 0
ODI 0 64 23 353 878 469 52 0
CDI 0 13 2 140 1049 789 270 7
VCDI 0 6 1 89 943 9693 23682 28653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98965 15062 162 995 440 91 0 0
OW 30 857 54 720 416 67 0 0
VODI 0 659 65 467 875 187 0 0
ODI 0 211 33 352 686 306 0 0
CDI 0 45 8 182 742 894 179 42
VCDI 0 5 3 103 1014 9645 23868 28618

Date: 2021-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97291 15955 181 772 276 66 0 0
OW 73 964 73 655 508 61 0 0
VODI 0 448 66 698 668 142 0 0
ODI 0 135 26 354 841 334 15 0
CDI 0 43 9 202 1013 1028 189 102
VCDI 0 4 1 212 1392 11330 24074 26847
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97272 15698 172 930 471 94 0 0
OW 92 1184 77 610 490 137 0 0
VODI 0 430 62 641 995 228 0 0
ODI 0 169 28 306 750 399 39 0
CDI 0 66 17 186 603 894 235 0
VCDI 0 2 0 220 1389 11209 24004 26949


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