Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12017 7538 58 230 18 0 0 0
OW 0 553 78 340 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 23 398 317 8 0 0
ODI 0 23 4 75 453 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 286 687 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 2334 5502 817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11696 7475 50 267 31 0 0 0
OW 0 575 76 308 160 6 0 0
VODI 0 139 20 317 336 53 0 0
ODI 0 51 6 101 326 133 14 0
CDI 0 1 1 29 210 539 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1504 5672 1859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10645 8786 76 274 6 0 0 0
OW 0 351 50 389 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 32 317 268 3 0 0
ODI 0 19 1 120 402 71 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 18 323 493 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1818 5268 2151
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11274 7753 59 240 31 0 0 0
OW 0 605 44 316 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 31 331 248 7 0 0
ODI 0 38 15 150 310 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 75 300 384 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 113 1865 4993 2507
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11250 7922 70 286 28 0 0 0
OW 24 456 30 276 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 166 38 309 257 8 0 0
ODI 0 44 8 172 300 94 0 0
CDI 0 2 8 61 311 415 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 106 1831 4983 2507

Date: 2021-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10865 7074 41 145 20 0 0 0
OW 25 1036 46 428 260 83 0 0
VODI 0 230 38 357 278 77 0 0
ODI 0 32 20 118 354 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 67 272 434 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 105 1141 4852 3421
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10717 7456 53 271 61 12 0 0
OW 173 672 39 322 245 71 0 0
VODI 0 212 37 339 294 70 0 0
ODI 0 31 6 126 335 161 0 0
CDI 0 1 12 49 261 496 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 93 1088 4842 3421

Date: 2021-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9944 8664 59 222 12 0 0 0
OW 4 365 67 361 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 24 591 390 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 82 634 90 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 279 709 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 794 4976 3637
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9755 8061 56 265 141 16 0 0
OW 193 693 47 359 207 16 0 0
VODI 0 301 33 386 322 39 0 0
ODI 0 24 15 181 359 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 313 479 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 66 941 4927 3637

Date: 2021-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9948 7782 71 236 37 0 0 0
OW 26 428 62 509 276 21 0 0
VODI 0 94 26 277 601 76 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 100 407 259 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 292 606 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 920 5109 3796
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9721 7104 40 196 131 47 0 0
OW 253 736 41 250 299 65 3 0
VODI 0 422 59 403 349 85 13 0
ODI 0 42 19 234 469 214 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 43 317 426 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 1045 5103 3796

Date: 2021-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7429 9023 72 388 24 2 0 0
OW 3 883 110 598 283 19 0 0
VODI 0 91 28 312 529 229 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 104 356 357 69 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 298 445 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 1818 5653 2738
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7353 8509 46 216 74 69 1 0
OW 72 921 83 515 275 130 57 0
VODI 7 431 51 353 256 64 29 0
ODI 0 129 26 230 472 297 34 0
CDI 0 7 6 96 303 529 92 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 183 1781 5633 2738


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