Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12021 8200 136 572 48 0 0 0
OW 0 297 44 1296 466 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 17 732 2051 19 0 0
ODI 0 68 3 94 1079 610 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 42 316 1758 234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 105 2702 10782 2024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12286 7865 125 389 68 0 0 0
OW 0 408 56 734 681 10 0 0
VODI 0 157 26 428 2263 325 0 0
ODI 0 54 2 123 1035 649 0 0
CDI 0 19 7 66 317 1351 379 24
VCDI 0 0 3 23 191 1874 7873 6055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12662 7473 100 399 0 0 0 0
OW 0 269 53 588 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 18 594 830 1 0 0
ODI 0 15 4 39 3187 526 2 0
CDI 0 12 6 69 361 2304 420 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 1461 7766 6448
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12451 7316 96 396 22 0 0 0
OW 0 323 52 582 129 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 16 429 830 32 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 44 1451 1704 0 0
CDI 0 25 6 45 248 2313 633 13
VCDI 0 9 4 49 237 2222 7067 7034
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12451 7321 98 495 29 0 0 0
OW 0 306 44 464 131 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 23 436 633 27 0 0
ODI 0 23 2 58 1581 1624 5 0
CDI 0 23 5 43 316 2299 627 5
VCDI 0 6 4 49 227 2321 7068 7042

Date: 2021-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11377 7752 104 420 63 1 0 0
OW 0 412 50 363 303 45 0 0
VODI 0 83 22 310 589 209 0 0
ODI 0 28 6 65 654 1598 24 0
CDI 0 5 4 52 350 2399 1146 1
VCDI 0 0 1 47 277 1481 9049 6576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11377 7784 115 518 106 10 0 0
OW 0 376 38 309 254 24 0 0
VODI 0 100 25 257 549 154 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 74 637 1540 34 0
CDI 0 2 4 53 419 2396 1219 1
VCDI 0 0 1 46 271 1609 8966 6576

Date: 2021-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11847 7122 99 276 30 0 0 0
OW 0 315 75 412 105 3 0 0
VODI 0 51 24 408 370 40 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 645 292 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 274 1979 548 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 127 990 9482 10164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11847 7022 128 516 213 24 0 0
OW 0 349 36 259 167 111 0 0
VODI 0 107 28 271 397 352 22 0
ODI 0 10 5 66 291 678 298 0
CDI 0 0 1 58 193 1242 2175 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 290 897 7636 10164

Date: 2021-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13119 5931 66 152 5 0 0 0
OW 0 569 61 308 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 35 417 328 27 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 85 676 196 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 317 1454 384 1
VCDI 0 0 0 12 160 1468 7253 12612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13119 5997 95 355 159 17 0 0
OW 0 460 34 150 169 89 0 0
VODI 0 162 37 331 346 309 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 110 437 414 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 217 1180 1385 22
VCDI 0 0 0 12 244 1136 6211 12591

Date: 2021-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12183 6300 89 265 11 0 0 0
OW 0 433 73 515 149 1 0 0
VODI 0 111 21 328 488 101 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 87 407 418 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 250 1264 483 11
VCDI 0 0 0 13 70 1664 7213 12858
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12183 6284 124 600 273 63 0 0
OW 0 412 35 237 235 158 10 0
VODI 0 138 24 205 334 435 20 0
ODI 0 11 4 98 251 517 83 0
CDI 0 5 2 48 106 807 1342 7
VCDI 0 0 0 42 176 1468 6267 12862


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 15 Oct 2021 02:54:30 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy