Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99351 2612 4 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 260 18 35 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 18 225 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 102 284 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 423 809 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 2372 2427 9
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99437 2603 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 292 21 51 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 21 195 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 242 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 365 597 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 3657 1322 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98765 3437 14 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 143 27 78 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 8 259 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 263 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 217 630 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3074 2048 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98587 3456 9 21 7 0 0 0
OW 0 214 16 25 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 17 179 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 121 144 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 286 275 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 3196 2367 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98587 3461 7 21 12 0 0 0
OW 0 214 17 34 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 18 187 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 104 165 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 266 258 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 3213 2365 0

Date: 2021-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98413 3398 7 24 19 0 0 0
OW 0 221 12 35 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 168 18 80 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 9 148 77 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 319 121 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 1792 3528 555
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98413 3398 7 23 21 0 0 0
OW 0 237 13 37 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 16 90 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 10 130 105 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 274 89 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 1822 3528 555

Date: 2021-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97253 4466 21 70 29 0 0 0
OW 0 149 7 60 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 30 18 118 87 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 182 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 231 219 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2073 2896 1046
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97253 4201 16 45 33 0 0 0
OW 0 183 8 66 36 2 0 0
VODI 0 158 7 33 105 8 0 0
ODI 0 78 11 57 98 28 0 0
CDI 0 25 4 123 133 67 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 170 2208 2896 1046

Date: 2021-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96827 4502 32 170 47 0 0 0
OW 0 68 7 90 105 6 0 0
VODI 0 5 6 56 164 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 99 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 79 307 51 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 754 3848 1669
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96827 4358 23 116 47 2 0 0
OW 0 137 10 50 77 10 0 0
VODI 0 46 10 94 115 60 0 0
ODI 0 28 0 39 109 103 7 0
CDI 0 6 2 43 96 174 61 20
VCDI 0 0 0 7 71 870 3831 1651

Date: 2021-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97553 3669 25 143 63 0 0 0
OW 0 75 7 110 116 4 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 57 176 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 125 92 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 108 260 83 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 794 3985 1555
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97553 3641 26 110 50 0 0 0
OW 0 97 10 115 103 8 0 0
VODI 0 13 3 83 178 90 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 118 101 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 137 202 126 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 779 3901 1548


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