Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12232 7411 51 246 77 0 0 0
OW 0 510 66 348 121 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 25 406 454 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 37 427 147 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 144 1329 136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2806 4992 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12153 7126 64 235 87 0 0 0
OW 0 605 54 351 151 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 28 340 493 20 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 49 426 158 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 154 1182 148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1581 5535 991
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12296 7385 68 274 47 0 0 0
OW 0 342 68 331 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 21 447 340 3 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 30 543 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 177 1159 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2376 5755 75
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12126 7438 49 244 24 0 0 0
OW 0 499 77 346 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 26 445 312 2 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 69 480 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 269 778 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2032 6260 285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12126 7611 63 300 28 0 0 0
OW 0 304 56 271 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 33 435 265 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 2 96 502 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 312 665 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2169 6264 285

Date: 2021-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12040 7415 50 233 12 0 0 0
OW 0 579 80 320 112 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 19 384 293 16 0 0
ODI 0 37 4 97 402 84 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 269 676 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1542 5254 1984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12040 7593 63 269 16 0 0 0
OW 0 392 58 264 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 28 375 278 5 0 0
ODI 0 44 4 119 399 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 328 597 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1671 5270 1984

Date: 2021-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11358 8112 57 223 13 0 0 0
OW 0 378 68 351 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 16 337 325 9 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 64 493 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 214 626 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2070 5571 1543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11358 7898 64 352 38 0 0 0
OW 0 465 45 230 101 4 0 0
VODI 0 158 25 253 333 30 0 0
ODI 0 62 4 92 308 119 0 0
CDI 0 9 3 51 269 421 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 53 2192 5514 1543

Date: 2021-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10667 8604 68 255 7 0 0 0
OW 0 474 46 356 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 28 305 238 3 0 0
ODI 0 34 14 167 300 88 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 65 357 383 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 1983 4801 2490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10667 8334 65 298 37 0 0 0
OW 0 554 31 260 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 254 30 295 198 27 0 0
ODI 0 116 19 136 207 98 0 0
CDI 0 49 11 136 306 241 3 0
VCDI 0 0 1 23 229 2091 4798 2490

Date: 2021-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11125 7364 52 207 112 0 0 0
OW 0 816 50 332 120 41 0 0
VODI 0 183 36 377 222 83 0 0
ODI 0 31 9 133 348 120 0 0
CDI 0 5 6 59 273 426 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 112 1319 5314 2753
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11107 7190 42 276 149 54 0 0
OW 18 727 40 194 119 39 0 0
VODI 0 314 38 285 158 88 0 0
ODI 0 99 11 182 203 102 14 0
CDI 0 69 13 95 273 186 54 0
VCDI 0 0 9 79 285 1520 5297 2753


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