Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13094 7144 27 88 51 0 0 0
OW 0 629 67 213 75 5 0 0
VODI 0 252 41 467 251 24 0 0
ODI 0 55 20 183 494 187 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 295 1411 1755 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1816 3390 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13024 7170 24 84 39 0 0 0
OW 6 723 53 208 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 359 63 449 210 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 22 197 511 64 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 60 331 1817 1091 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1373 4068 5
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13331 7097 36 128 71 0 0 0
OW 0 433 84 305 72 1 0 0
VODI 0 78 33 535 298 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 614 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 255 1956 201 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2128 4341 26
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11834 8079 52 226 61 0 0 0
OW 0 467 77 351 108 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 21 426 411 5 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 23 489 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 159 1454 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3222 4244 5
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11834 7955 57 236 65 0 0 0
OW 0 467 45 252 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 223 49 490 380 6 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 48 477 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 214 1238 92 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3464 4312 5

Date: 2021-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12174 7292 63 253 67 0 0 0
OW 0 556 55 341 122 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 25 393 467 8 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 50 407 159 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 185 1264 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2937 4651 396
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12174 7118 59 229 71 0 0 0
OW 0 552 36 282 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 301 48 447 420 6 0 0
ODI 0 8 5 79 419 125 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 228 1022 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3215 4718 396

Date: 2021-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11982 7633 61 248 45 0 0 0
OW 0 349 73 331 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 20 496 332 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 24 648 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 130 1225 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1409 5761 992
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11982 7166 62 297 63 0 0 0
OW 0 557 34 266 148 0 0 0
VODI 0 288 51 399 406 22 0 0
ODI 0 37 9 113 370 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 24 246 914 107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1620 5768 992

Date: 2021-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12123 7516 62 220 65 0 0 0
OW 0 388 70 337 128 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 24 380 372 6 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 51 512 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 243 984 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2462 5902 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12123 6979 61 271 79 0 0 0
OW 0 653 41 255 165 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 43 342 423 25 0 0
ODI 0 79 12 98 407 138 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 22 246 863 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2500 5905 0

Date: 2021-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12017 7538 58 230 18 0 0 0
OW 0 553 78 340 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 23 398 317 8 0 0
ODI 0 23 4 75 453 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 286 687 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 2334 5502 817
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12017 6939 62 254 44 0 0 0
OW 0 669 34 231 175 6 0 0
VODI 0 436 49 346 319 83 0 0
ODI 0 125 11 126 362 133 0 0
CDI 0 47 7 88 210 677 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 72 2201 5463 817


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