Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97689 3145 20 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 372 27 101 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 266 43 586 103 2 0 0
ODI 0 62 2 262 718 188 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 791 2989 1036 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 292 297 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97966 2882 11 18 2 0 0 0
OW 6 423 13 44 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 422 38 410 112 1 0 0
ODI 0 67 2 253 676 242 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 424 3823 290 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 589 337 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99169 2202 5 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 335 28 54 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 24 438 120 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 147 702 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 440 4543 102 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 263 204 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98813 2474 4 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 373 15 26 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 203 35 370 97 2 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 202 615 125 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 453 4034 297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 624 284 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98813 2473 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 353 13 30 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 223 38 341 80 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 226 634 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 448 4109 264 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 575 317 0

Date: 2021-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98896 2344 9 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 304 24 58 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 29 365 143 3 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 248 562 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 600 3964 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 927 157 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98896 2270 7 37 2 0 0 0
OW 0 340 26 62 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 195 30 360 134 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 1 249 591 80 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 573 4046 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 856 192 0

Date: 2021-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99361 2016 9 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 321 5 49 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 281 34 303 65 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 5 319 490 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 768 3369 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1371 188 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99361 1978 9 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 341 5 58 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 294 34 296 72 2 0 0
ODI 0 26 5 316 490 54 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 761 3568 77 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1167 152 0

Date: 2021-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99237 2131 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 390 6 24 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 385 22 203 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 83 22 435 281 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 75 808 2106 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 2527 243 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99237 2078 5 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 412 5 37 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 393 20 220 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 106 25 387 305 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 837 1773 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2851 237 0

Date: 2021-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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