Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12807 7700 54 157 17 0 0 0
OW 0 627 76 520 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 20 588 411 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 1025 250 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 1784 4040 466 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 1165 22 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12725 7638 65 185 23 0 0 0
OW 0 650 71 529 92 1 0 0
VODI 0 36 11 488 482 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 886 236 91 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 1433 4431 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 390 1459 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12484 7946 60 165 11 0 0 0
OW 0 430 64 383 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 26 606 301 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 98 1508 54 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1483 6180 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 64 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12914 7451 37 124 10 0 0 0
OW 0 485 79 360 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 27 547 385 2 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 80 1162 84 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1694 5550 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 793 32 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12914 7502 56 183 14 0 0 0
OW 0 423 64 367 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 23 459 339 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 102 1121 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1725 5652 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 687 47 0

Date: 2021-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13197 6995 29 77 23 1 0 0
OW 0 523 63 291 66 10 0 0
VODI 0 130 39 441 513 28 0 0
ODI 0 16 2 102 861 283 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 339 6197 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1650 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13197 7044 38 108 29 2 0 0
OW 0 470 55 337 99 8 0 0
VODI 0 139 37 355 461 15 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 111 921 219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 292 6087 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1838 0 0

Date: 2021-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13088 7171 30 93 32 0 0 0
OW 0 408 65 228 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 45 518 276 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 288 844 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 51 561 4210 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3445 59 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13088 6974 26 85 27 0 0 0
OW 0 537 55 213 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 267 58 526 229 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 8 289 866 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 590 4186 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3473 69 0

Date: 2021-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12329 7811 43 165 46 0 0 0
OW 0 416 44 211 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 287 46 371 252 16 0 0
ODI 0 96 17 412 460 134 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 74 545 2200 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4433 1354 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12329 7530 35 120 37 0 0 0
OW 0 501 29 170 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 386 54 380 231 32 0 0
ODI 0 166 29 380 449 87 0 0
CDI 0 30 5 183 582 1936 346 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 4728 1241 0

Date: 2021-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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