Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-09-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13062 5666 70 377 24 11 0 0
OW 14 869 62 685 31 8 0 0
VODI 0 500 101 3461 569 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 397 3521 260 0 0
CDI 0 15 1 35 3739 4057 567 0
VCDI 0 8 3 70 115 2095 4216 1247
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12357 6395 84 375 25 22 0 0
OW 8 1153 62 863 44 8 0 0
VODI 0 731 117 3043 506 11 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 774 2797 285 0 0
CDI 0 12 5 109 3837 2736 833 14
VCDI 0 0 3 27 563 3682 4271 113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12356 6847 106 416 18 4 0 0
OW 0 1409 129 1039 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 99 54 3389 685 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 276 4546 274 0 0
CDI 0 18 4 138 3260 4078 318 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 0 2656 3710 5
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12752 6604 88 441 38 1 0 0
OW 0 1449 129 1430 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 55 2976 651 3 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 409 3538 169 0 0
CDI 0 27 5 130 3420 3779 445 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 36 2982 3674 448
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12752 7145 114 594 49 1 0 0
OW 0 797 104 1179 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 231 54 2908 665 5 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 567 3883 131 0 0
CDI 0 27 6 139 2737 3030 359 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 358 3767 3760 448

Date: 2021-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13611 5906 63 236 11 3 0 0
OW 0 1940 139 1155 46 5 0 0
VODI 0 181 64 2601 893 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 419 2077 636 0 0
CDI 0 20 6 139 1622 5292 314 0
VCDI 0 1 3 10 47 4736 3678 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13611 6468 81 393 29 6 0 0
OW 0 1249 110 1053 104 2 0 0
VODI 0 306 75 2357 777 10 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 599 2454 586 0 0
CDI 0 23 7 148 1276 4575 287 0
VCDI 0 1 3 10 56 5497 3705 0

Date: 2021-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12973 6966 91 341 28 9 0 0
OW 0 1717 98 850 86 3 0 0
VODI 0 667 98 1900 589 6 0 0
ODI 0 63 17 900 1392 101 0 0
CDI 0 77 8 115 1809 3644 31 0
VCDI 0 17 2 49 104 8248 2867 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12973 7221 86 332 31 12 0 0
OW 0 1522 113 972 231 3 0 0
VODI 0 625 92 1763 595 4 0 0
ODI 0 46 13 919 1354 129 0 0
CDI 0 77 7 108 1673 3791 33 0
VCDI 0 16 3 61 124 8072 2865 0

Date: 2021-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13070 7097 98 529 25 16 0 0
OW 0 1417 92 939 104 2 0 0
VODI 0 616 94 1686 703 68 0 0
ODI 0 38 3 574 1367 272 0 0
CDI 0 71 7 67 1184 3599 78 0
VCDI 0 48 5 69 72 5160 6692 4
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13070 6930 95 517 38 12 0 0
OW 0 1592 88 1052 178 10 0 0
VODI 0 619 92 1533 767 81 0 0
ODI 0 36 14 623 1294 247 0 0
CDI 0 85 7 67 1058 3710 149 0
VCDI 0 25 3 72 120 5057 6621 4

Date: 2021-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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