Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-08-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96580 3805 27 126 4 0 0 0
OW 0 245 22 163 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 39 582 268 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 8 214 732 209 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 1 360 2323 1465 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 237 1488 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96970 3509 18 71 0 0 0 0
OW 7 321 23 132 8 0 0 0
VODI 5 231 37 532 237 1 0 0
ODI 0 59 8 200 668 188 0 0
CDI 0 19 0 6 407 3507 595 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 735 606 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97974 2697 22 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 318 32 130 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 152 31 644 184 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 3 101 830 142 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 297 4804 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 285 272 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97677 3155 18 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 345 28 139 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 244 42 604 119 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 0 259 686 163 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 26 694 4083 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 346 207 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97677 3170 16 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 324 36 159 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 265 36 616 128 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 0 231 657 151 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 717 4072 162 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 369 196 0

Date: 2021-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97424 3383 17 44 1 0 0 0
OW 6 372 21 94 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 319 46 523 104 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 2 254 691 226 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 22 605 3211 834 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 515 308 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97421 3415 15 23 0 0 0 0
OW 7 346 27 130 6 0 0 0
VODI 2 329 44 540 101 1 0 0
ODI 0 49 0 220 662 222 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 645 3185 829 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 544 313 0

Date: 2021-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99416 1893 4 5 0 0 0 0
OW 6 350 30 78 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 23 489 137 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 138 782 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 277 4667 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 58 321 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99404 1456 5 13 0 0 0 0
OW 16 396 15 57 22 0 0 0
VODI 2 477 32 380 105 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 5 233 661 193 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 412 3891 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 717 341 0

Date: 2021-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99144 2198 3 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 353 22 29 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 28 405 93 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 192 685 93 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 448 4262 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 413 340 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99134 1629 3 10 1 0 0 0
OW 8 397 8 27 12 0 0 0
VODI 2 598 34 299 83 0 0 0
ODI 0 121 8 261 445 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 691 3203 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1446 431 0

Date: 2021-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98695 2542 9 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 306 23 62 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 33 380 131 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 194 605 118 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 502 4108 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 710 321 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98687 1812 4 10 0 0 0 0
OW 7 371 7 35 4 0 0 0
VODI 1 648 37 201 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 191 14 306 283 45 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 144 662 2263 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 242 2628 429 0


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